IBM Stock Long Term Analysis | Estimated Investment Return

This video is an analysis of IBM (IBM) from the fiscal year 2019 financial results as well as an estimate of the future value and possible investment return based on a discounted cash flow (DCF) and EV / EBITDA market multiple approach.

Value Investing, Private Equity Valuation, Corporate Finance Valuation, Rational Investing, investing 20k in stocks, investing in stocks for beginners, investing for beginners, investing future, investing strategies, investing and saving money, investing and earning money, Estimated Investment Return
NYSE: IBM

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All opinions expressed by Cameron Stewart on this show are solely Mr. Stewart’s opinions. You should not treat any opinion expressed by Mr. Stewart as a specific inducement to make a particular investment or follow a particular strategy, but only as an expression of his opinion. Mr. Stewart’s statements and opinions are subject to change without notice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Mr. Stewart does not guarantees any specific outcome or profit. You should be aware of the real risk of loss in following any strategy or investment discussed on this show. Strategies or investments discussed may fluctuate in price or value. Investors may get back less than invested. Investments or strategies mentioned on this show may not be suitable for you. This material does not take into account your particular investment objectives, financial situation or needs and is not intended as recommendations appropriate for you. You must make an independent decision regarding investments or strategies mentioned on this show. Before acting on information on this show, you should consider whether it is suitable for your particular circumstances and strongly consider seeking advice from your own financial or investment adviser.

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[bharatnegandhi]

You touched upon the management in this video, which is what i liked. Probably that aspect was not being covered in the previous videos. Management, in my view should be the sixth important parameter to consider. Especially would like to have your views in future videos on how you see them being able to execute the future course of the business. I think this channel deserves a handle of 25x (to start) on subscriber base from its present levels. Its all hard and consistent work and it shows.

[jbweld]

This is pure gold analysis with no frills. Please continue!

[richipal]

Cameron: I have learnt a lot watching videos on this channel, Thank you.

[Jesus_is_Lord]

Good evening Cam! I came will the conclusion about IBM is undervalue stock and will turn around cause it survive 2000, 2008, 2020 and inflation will help to slow down fast growing companies. Time will tell! Thank you for excellent stocks evaluations!

[terrapininvestments]

Wednesday, the best day of the week because of my man Cam CFA. I love how every week the editing gets cooler and cooler. Another great video!

[andersneldebergnielsen]

Good video with focus on actual underlying cash flow performance and not just focusing on multiples and the revenue struggle. As you mention the company is a giant and creates significant free cash flow which gives them time to change the business, which they are now doing with the spin off of the GTS business

[Damian-lzhb]

Great video man, please make a video of some REIT, it would be great to know what parameters you study to analyze them, I learned a lot from you

[ultimmaawarrior]

The 60% was in reference to recurring revenues I think. The cloud business is subscription based or monthly payments. Good pivot that most large tech companies are looking for. Thanks again for your videos.

[robinspanier]

your content is such a gem, thank you very much. Im gladful to learn from you

[nicholascroll]

Hi Cameron, thanks for you videos which I very much appreciate. The problem I see with trying to value technology companies, especially those that are relatively old, is that these companies are being unsurped by younger and more hungry competitors. Therefore growth predictions are less likely to hold true. For instance when I started my career every company was being supplied by IBM. Now however, very rarely do I work for any company that uses IBM. The advent of cloud computing and better hardware companies has had a direct impact on IBM. No-one leaves university and wants to go work for IBM. I've also been led to believe that IBM have been misleading in their reporting - see the video by Sven Carlin on 08/12/2020 and as such there is now short interest in the Stock. I think trying to value technology stocks really requires a bit of a crystal ball. Also right now the premium on technology stocks makes them all extremely expensive in my view and for now value stocks hold more values until there is a rotation in the market that sees technology stocks become less expensive.

[CBornfrank]

IBM has so much risk but like you said such a huge upside. There are other stocks you cover that in my opinion have the same upside with less risk like MO. Another comment mentioned that management here is something to consider, which is true they could turn the ship around and make this an amazing business again. Regardless amazing videos and analysis, your channel will become trending if you keep this up!

[domg]

Terrific content as always Cameron. That is some serious capital growth for the stock. The into, graphics and editing are great! I can’t wait for the next video. Would love AVGO or PFE. Thx!

[RonBelt]

The big 'if' here is the turn around... looking at the earnings report there are a lot of promises...what would be your key initial data points on such a turn around?

[stoyanminev]

Hi, Cameron, great analysis, thank you! With every new video I'm starting to realize how good this kind of approach is. Could you please make a video about Altria( MO)? Thank you in advance.

[michaelharteel]

Very helpful as always! Can you please do an analysis on AbbVie?

[michelesbriglio]

Thanks for this! I was asking for IBM analysis. Thank you. It’s detailed and clear as usual in your videos

[cnce]

amazing as well as usual. keep up the good work. u just clarify some of the uncertainty that I had about this company. I've been buying on the low $106 to $110 price n I'm close to 100 shares at an average cost of $120. I'm betting on this CEO to turn this Big ass Blue around it's my oldest holding since 2017.

[bertrandrussell]

Hey Cameron, just wondering if your opinion on the company has changed at all given the recent email migration conundrum the company is facing.

[jwalton]

Hi Cameron. I really like your videos you put so much into them and I am learning a lot. My question : is the Red Hat purchase reflected in the numbers that you show in the spreadsheet? The cost to purchase is shown but how about the contribution from Red Hat? ie revenues, debt, EBITDA etc.

[MJ-fyem]

Really glad you looked at IBM - surprised by the upside here! Cash cow though with potential to be a big player in high margin cloud space.

I’ll keep touting my picks for you to look at 😆
-healthcare series: ABBV/BMY/MRK/UNH
-TSN foods
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