2024 NFL Win Total Predictions: NFC | PFF NFL Show

PFF's Sam Monson and Steve Palazzolo give their thoughts on each NFC team's projected win totals for the 2024 NFL season.

0:00 Intro
2:50 Cardinals
6:31 Falcons
11:05 Panthers
17:13 Bears
23:11 Cowboys
28:20 Lions
32:34 Packers
40:26 Rams
45:16 Vikings
50:46 Saints
57:42 Giants
1:01:35 Eagles
1:02:56 49ers
1:06:14 Seahawks
1:08:37 Buccaneers
1:10:03 Commanders

[AdamODell]

Saying the wrong Lions tackle’s name when talking about the end of the Dallas game is so funny and painful and ironic

[dfp_]

Cardinals: Steve under 6.5, Sam over 6.5
Falcons: Steve over 9.5, Sam over 9.5
Panthers: Steve over 5.5, Sam under 5.5
Bears: Steve under 8.5, Sam over 8.5
Cowboys: Steve over 10.5, Sam under 10.5
Lions: Steve over 10.5, Sam over 10.5
Packers: Steve over 9.5, Sam over 9.5
Rams: Steve under 8.5, Sam under 8.5
Vikings: Steve over 6.5, Sam under 6.5
Saints: Steve under 7.5, Sam over 7.5 (with Ryan Ramczyk)/under 7.5 (without Ryan Ramczyk)
Giants: Steve under 6.5, Sam over 6.5
Eagles: Steve over 10.5 (?), Sam over 10.5
49ers: Steve under 11.5, Sam over 11.5
Seahawks: Steve over 7.5, Sam over 7.5
Buccaneers: Steve under 8.5, Sam under 8.5
Commanders: Steve over 6.5, Sam over 6.5

I think I got all these right. Steve ends with 21 overs out of 32, which is not quite 70% but it's pretty close. Sam actually ends up with 22.5, or 70.3%, if you count each segment of his Saints pick as half, so he's perhaps eyebrow-raisingly more optimistic than Steve.

[goldenkingLBC]

Saints O-line is better than people think but Carrbage makes them look bad to do his lack of pocket awareness, not properly scanning the field, folding under pressure, no mobility and constantly choking in the redzone! As for my Raiders, we aren't winning anything until we finally get us a top QB! 💯

[skparadoxity]

The doubt the Bucs get from media heads is insane.

They had no run game at all and Baker still broke 4k yards and 28 TD's, people really underestimate how significant that actually is when you had the least rushing yards of any team with the lowest YPC.

In Comparison another terrible run team (5th worst), the Seattle Seahawks. Geno Smith only threw for 3.6k yards and 20 TD's. Another awful run team last year (8th worst) was the Chargers, Justin Herbert only ended up with 3.1K passing yards and 20 TD's.

Both these teams had inversely high quality WR talent like the Bucs. Seahawks have Tyler Locket, Jaxon Smith-Njigba, and Metcalf. While the Chargers had Mike Williams, Quentin Johnston, and Keenan Allen. Both comparable WR sets to the Mike Evans, Chris Godwin, and Trey Palmer trio in Tampa. With a revitalized O-line to support the run game, that will open up the pass game that added two weapons, one in Jalen and the other in Shepperd.

in 2024 Baker may break, dare I say, 5k yards with 35-40 TD's? With 3-4 TD's in each playoff game? Bold predictions I know, but I'm quite confident in this team's metamorphosis and the new OC Liam Cohen who has a real track record of success with the Rams and the University of Kentucky and not a mythos of being a "QB whisperer" like Canales did.

[runningbeard]

Thanks for spending 6 seconds talking about the Bucs, the team that will once again win the NFC South

[randallsimms]

Bald dude low key hate the Rams fr, can’t wait for the season

[XdmcokerX]

Wow a whole 2 minutes on the Bucs just to say you don't think they are going to be as good, based off.... Just really compelling stuff

[willembos]

The betting structure on w in totals... It's probably set up as a "teaser" to get people to sign up and bet. "My team is better than that!" If they set those numbers a little "low" and lose some money...they get you into the betting system with some confidence and then eventually make a bunch of money on your bets, because the house always wins.

[itinerantpatriot]

This stuff about tough schedules is based on last years results. The league average when it comes to roster turnover is 25%, meaning a quarter of the team is comprised of different players. For some teams that percentage is even higher, up to a third. Every year there are teams who go from worst to first and teams who made the playoffs the year before who stumble or fall flat on their face due to injuries or other factors.

[fitz]

In a lot fewer words: the young GB team showed what they were capable of. Question is, is that it? Or is that just the beginning?

[Nerve]

Eyebrow raising lmao sam is a character 😅😂

[FRANKSNAKE]

DraftKings win totals are 2 games higher across the board than the top 4 Vegas oddsmakers…why?

[krnconnection]

one of the toughest schedules last year.. and K1 only played 8 games. still, we could've won 4 games with K1 against the playoffs teams. two missed FGs by Matt Prater against the Seattle. Luckily, it got us MHJ. This tells us that Steve didn't do his research.

[eldiablony]

Guys knocking Bears defensive personnel? Back 7 may be among the best in football, tell me the weakness. I’ll take Steve’s action Bears over 8.5 . No doubt about it.

[neetrab]

1:03:20 - they don't have their DC anymore and y'all think they won't miss a beat lol

[sharkzillah]

Bucs under win total? Classic national media take. I didn't watch the segment but I bet they picked the Saints to go over too. Someone let PFF know that Brees retired almost a half decade ago.

[tdog-vc]

Extremely hard schedule for the cardinals. Rams twice, 49ers twice, Detroit, Chicago, Green Bay, bills, dolphins. And this is for a last place team. Like cmon

[crystalballers]

Jordan Love and consistency. { } There, now you know everything.

[RyanCourville-zmso]

Everyone over looks the Saints. The my have a really good defense and alot of young guys getting better. If there offense is better even a little bit, than they will be a playoff team. The media jumps on bang wagons so much it's ridiculous.

[alexvaldes]

Bucs hardly even mentioned. I'm about to unsub from you guys. Seriously can you spend more then 2 seconds and a comment on Baker? Like we have serious talent and you guys always over look and undercover the Bucs.