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📊 According to CME Group and Bloomberg, open interest in futures contracts just hit an all-time high! 🚀

🔹 Nearly 23 million contracts for 10-year note futures equivalents are now outstanding.

💡 This peak means about $1.5 billion is at risk for every 0.01% (1 basis point) move in the underlying Treasury notes. 📉

I'll cover in more detail as of Thursday Close.

fxevolutionvideo
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I came across your channel through this video—case studies are incredibly valuable, and I'm eager to see more in the future! Building wealth involves establishing routines, like consistently setting aside funds at regular intervals for smart investments.

Peterl
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The market trend can turn around very quickly. In fact, the indexes often switch from a bear market to a bull market when the news is at its worst and the mood of investors is at its lowest point. I read an article of people that grossed profits up to $150k during this crash, what are the best stocks to buy now or put on a watchlist?

brianwhitehawker
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This will end ugly you say. But every crash brings with it an equivalent market chance if you are early informed and equipped. I've seen folks amass up to $1m amid crash, and even pull it off easily in favorable conditions. Unequivocally, the bubble/collapse is getting somebody somewhere rich.

hushbash
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To the credit card point, people also miss that there are 30 million more people over 18 atm then in 2008. So inflation adjusted + more people means that number is less scary (still serious).

dantheman
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The historical data just does not line up with your 12-18 month optimism. If the Fed cuts between Sep and Nov, at minimum, a 25% bear will bottom out in June 2025. While a very long, deep bear would bottom out down 50% in Feb 2026. Sweet spot is a 40% bear bottom to buy with both fists in Oct 2025. But no way will you get to skate along at highs or higher highs for 12 more months, lining up for those bottoms. That is just reckless musical chairs gamesmanship. Lots of technical waiters are going to be lacking chairs, very suddenly.

stevenmix
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I believe we should look at the market data in relation to a bull steepener scenario of the yield curve. Why? Because that is what is currently playing out.

The-Capitalist
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Treasury yields and other safe cash-like investments are raising high returns, yet most investors believe this is a good time to buy stocks than gold despite crash. I'd love to spread across $400k into profit yielding dividend equities and end the year well, but unsure of which to get acquire.

Michaelparker
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New viewer this week and been really impressed Tom great show and great data.

chassdesk
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Tom in your later video on China, is there anything you can find about their market growing even with population decline because a lot of their people are still 3rd world living standards, moving to a services 1st world economy?

WhiteCarbon
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This is my favorite channel. Despite the dip in crypto. I still thank you for the level headed financial advice I started crypto investment with $7, 500 and since following you for few weeks now, I've got 25k In my portfolio. Thank you so much Miss Susan Marie Alessio

TabakovRadoustine
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Agree with you that a soft landing will seem to have come leading to complacency, bullishness even euphoria (Templeton). Then a mother of all hard landings in about 2 years time.

p_sg
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Stellar work as always Tom please come speak in the states!

QuinnanScott
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Some someone explain how to find the buyback period information please

SuperZander
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Hey Tom. Love your channel ..Any chance to show ASX 200 from time to time?

walkingtofi
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Mostly everything went to the floor an a mini rally sounds stupendous

D-hbgt
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Isn't the real question is the consumer rolling over or not. If they are done, the clock has started.

survive_Churchill
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this guy is the best, give him a follow

goldenteeth
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First time watching your channel. Thanks for the great charts, presentation and analysis. I subscribed.

victorpaternoster
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Can someone help to verify the July retail data ?

America all retail data
June 2024 sales : -0.2%
July 2024 sales : +1.0%
Main contribution is from car sales

Car related (new or resale car)
June 2024: -3.43%
July 2024 : +3.58%

New car sales:
June 2024: -0.16%
July 2024 : -0.19%

Resale car sales:
June 2024: -1.53%
July 2024 : -2.30%

All car sales volume:
May 2024: +5.0%
June 2024: -3.0%
July 2024: -2.8%

With all car sales and volume drop in July 2024, how can we get +1.0% for July 2024 retail data ?

richardho