The Yet-Unseen Consequences of Russia's War in Ukraine | Ian Bremmer | Global Stage | GZERO Media

"It's not a war in Ukraine. It's actually a war between Russia and NATO," says Ian Bremmer.

World leaders attending the 2022 World Economic Forum in Davos know there's a crisis going on — but Ian Bremmer thinks they are still unaware of the first- and second-order consequences of Russia's war in Ukraine.

First, "people are mostly thinking about this as a war inside Ukraine. It's not a war in Ukraine. It's actually a war between Russia and NATO," the president of GZERO Media said Global Stage livestream conversation hosted by GZERO in partnership with Microsoft. He was joined by former Danish PM Helle Thorning-Schmidt; Brad Smith, president and vice chair of Microsoft; and moderator Nicholas Thompson, CEO of The Atlantic.

What's more, he explained, NATO is doing everything it can to degrade Russia's capabilities and welcoming Finland and Sweden, so very soon "NATO and Russia are going to be in some level of not just cold war, but have some aspects of [a] hot war."

Second, the war in Ukraine matters so much more than other deadly conflicts in Afghanistan, Syria, or Yemen due to the knock-on effects for global commodity prices of energy, fertilizer, or food.

For Bremmer, many countries that haven't paid attention, perhaps because they think it's just America's or Europe's problem, will have to reverse course because the impact on their governments will be dramatic.

Watch more of this Global Stage discussion: "Crisis in a digital world"

#GlobalStage #IanBremmer #WEF22

[fernandoferdinand]

I just love listening to Ian Bremmer because he's so clear and comprehensive...👍🌟🇺🇦💪

[mankala]

I think the reasoning is flawed. The commodity price increases are not just due to the war, but mainly due to the sanctions and coverage of the war, which made this issue too important to ignore. Had a similar sanctions were imposed and coverage blasted through, Iraq would have turned out to be too important to ignore.

[govinda]

I enjoy watching Ian but this moderator always looks inpatient.

[kshen]

So much huge consequences have been already seen, such as over one million innocent American deaths in the pandemic, world wide de-dollar actions, higher inflation and negative GDP growth.

[kshen]

Kissinger has to give him much more hints how could he become a real geopolitical scientist, instead of a radicals or “democratic” extremist.

[mattc]

The head of Russia Today (RT) Margarita Simonyan said this about the Ukraine war: either the war ends with Russia's victory or World War 3.

[visalusanson]

Ian, the back of your head was the only view the other two panelists were forced to look at with a smile
..it was somewhat painful to watch

just say’n

[Erik-rphi]

China should be taken just as serious as Russia going forward. Yes, trade is good but the threat they both pose is serious. Steps must be made to shield us from them now. De-coupling is a big part.

[BjorckBengt]

The problem here is that Ian Bremmer has no proposal for what to do better and it often comes out as we should not resist Russian aggression, which of course is immoral and stupid.

[redbird]

Isn't Bremmer the same guy who said there was very little chance Russian would invade Ukraine? Oh ok. Next.

[kshen]

Most your living commodities and necessities are manufactured by China, and Russia is rich of food and natural resources. They are not Iraq or Syria. Americans have already suffered a lot from this American declared geopolitical contests, over one million innocent American pandemic deaths is one of those worst consequences.

[philliasphog]

Zielinski should have let the men leave along with the women and children. We should not be supporting his ego.