CGD Seminar - Gavin Schmidt and Zeke Hausfather

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  1. NSF NCAR Climate and Global Dynamics Laboratory
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One model that predicts higher sea surface temps? And now we see those northern sea heatwaves (Pacific & Atlantic). And near Antarctica sea ice has melted on 2, 67 million square kilometers more than normal. Yea, wondering which models are correct... Or what has happened to our seas? Many guesses has been thrown...

martiansoon
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Ie. From 1, 2C world IPCC says aerosols are +0, 4C (has been proven wrong and previous 0, 6C has been suggested again), while latest Hansen et al suggest that effect could be nearing 1, 35C. Each of them makes current temperatures over 1, 5C (that is now here as monthly temp, not periodical). 1, 6-1, 8C is current temp with aerosol effect by IPCC, but it is 2, 55C from Hansen et al report...

martiansoon
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Basically this is about comparing models and seeing how badly done they are and how they are a waste of time

johnmorgan
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@24 mins...

And today we are nearing 1, 5C temperature rise (that has been overcome in this year over 70 days already)... Meaning that we are near the lower end of Canadian model, when timeperiod is corrected...

It is total BS that climate scientists have not taken one comparable temperature baseline to their studies. 1750-1800 is preinsdustrial, 1850-1900 is still pretty good, with some manmade emissions, since that the BS hits the fan. 1979 is the baseline for arctic sea ice, because then we got accurate satellite data. But this 1980-1990, is total BS as baseline, you have to calculate it eery time and it tells all who are not paying attention totally low BS numbers.

martiansoon