Modelling 🦠 Coronavirus - Why quarantine?!

As coronavirus is threatening to become a global pandemic, I've built seven epidemiological models of increasing complexity in order to illustrate how infectious diseases get transmitted over time. Among others, I try to answer the questions of what is the scientific rationale behind a surgical mask or an all-out quarantine. This is a video commentary of a simulation modelling exercise using system dynamics

🕹 Simulator (built in AnyLogic)
👇 Download

🦠 Coronavirus COVID19 tracker by Johns Hopkins Center for Systems Science and Engineering

🔗 Kontext blog post - more useful links

♻ More models on the System Dynamics Society's website:

🎥 Camera:
Mevo Plus
Samsung Galaxy S7 Edge

#CoronaVirus #COVID19 #SystemDynamics #Wuhan#SimulationModelling #AnyLogic #SIR #SEIRD #Epidemic #SARS #SARSCoV2

0:00 Intro
2:25 Simple SI model with fixed infection rate
5:56 SI model with more realistic infection rate
8:43 Contact frequency and infectivity
12:08 Impact of total population on infection
16:55 Classic SIR model: SI with Recovery
21:27 Heaven is the greatest Recovery
23:40 Effects of partial immunity
27:40 Possible policy levers
32:06 Rationale and review of existing policies, cases

[dicaromonroy]

Hello! I couldn't find the code of the model I'm a student and I would like to review it for my presentation of what is system dynamic thank you

[aadityaholani]

How do yo estimate the relationships between the parameters

[pkyvzoh]

@Csala Dénes
Helo!

I`m just starting learning system dynamic in AnyLogic and intersting in your model but l cant find any source for downloading model. Do you can send to me share-link so l could download it

[draganbogdan]

@Csala Dénes Hello, can you add the source code please, that would me useful for a model i am making ?