The SHOCKING Truth About Poker (It's Just Math)

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It’s only the bad beats that linger in our minds.

Stay positive.

johnmaciver
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Regarding "General Root of Superstition"

The quote is "... men observe when things hit, and not when they miss, and commit to memory the one, and forget and pass over the other" (Bacon 1626/1803 vol 2 p. 73)


Aka Confirmation Bias.

Your analogy is backwards. People steam at the 30% chance of the opponent hitting, over their 70% chance to hold due to their own confirmation bias. It's not that they forget they hold 70% of the time, they feel to be entitled to hold 100% of the time due to their bias.

XninjaBaer
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Counting the hits & disregarding the misses is also known as "The Texas Sharpshooter Fallacy", as in "I hit 50 bullseyes dead center today, " (out of 500 shots).

lovesjersey
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It always happens to me, Q and J hit every time I hold AK

vpsingh
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I went all in short stack with AQ to get called by AJ and A10 for a 2 hitting the river giving all 3 a A-5 straight that was frustrating

_star_floydd
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Luck evens out over time, try writing down your good and bad beats

steerpike