Bear Market Cancelled

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New data reveals the stock market meltdown has been canceled, and we are officially in a bull market again.

And while I know it's hard to believe for many of you because there's no shortage of bad things happening in the markets and the economy, the data doesn't care.

And more indicators confirm we are in a strong bull market every day!

Timecodes
0:00 The Stock Market Meltdown
1:19 a Crash is Coming
4:11 Told You So....
8:21 Something Changed
12:08 S&P Rally
13:45 All Indicators Are Rallying
14:49 But.. the Yield Curve
16:57 There's Always a Crash Coming
18:48 Bull Market For Now?

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#BearMarket
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Its not really a bull market, if its only driven by hyper inflation! if hyper inflation gets here, the stockmarket may likely soar, but the reality is there will be no gain in purchasing power.

nobody
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I am finding myself staying silent while everyone around me is screaming crash. Relieved to know I may nor be crazy.

jaybeeaustria
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disagree, there is a huge lag in raising rates, and then results. By the time the results are in and the fed pivots the soft landing is over, we gonna dump hard.

bitcoinpoker
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Tbh, I feel a bit betrayed. I follow this channel regularly. I still remember vividly 2 months ago with the debt deal, we were told it would suck out the liquidity out of the market. That's a bearish talk.

yukuhana
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Thank you Mark, Excellent points made. Whenever I see the heard running, I like to at least look the other way.

timsandman
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This is that little uptick that always happens just before the Really Big Crash ...

emariaenterprises
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Everyday, my faith and trust in any data deteriorates. It's all just a big fat lie and we are all morons to believe anything we can't see, feel or touch.

rolenrodes
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Sure, the yield curve can stay inverted for long, however, under the current conditions it normally uninverts within the first 2 years of the inversion. We inverted in July '22 so i'd say it's pretty much guaranteed something is going to happen to break that before July '24.

Path, Be prepared for it.

davebnly
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Mark, do the red/green color code to your videos. Let's see what that looks like, be honest

michaelcaristo
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Very good reminder to play what’s in-front of you.

Rhummie
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Invested some of my 401k with Sprott in 2012 hoping to catch the bull cycle. I'm now heading into retirement years and the money went nowhere.

lisas
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History shows the stock market isn't supposed to crash until AFTER the Fed pivots. Once the pivot happens, the crash is "supposed" to happen. The data shows we are still in a bear market. There is almost always a market "melt-up" before every crash. By saying the market won't crash, you are also saying the historical data from the inverted yield curve is wrong, and it hasn't EVER been wrong yet. This is also coming from someone who day trades the stock market. Personally, if the market crashes or not, is irrelevant to me.

LG-twvm
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The 10s-2s Un-inverts generally because fed starts cutting which directly lowers the yield on the 2s. BUT the fed doesn't usually start cutting until shit has already hit the fan. The sequence will be Crash from black swan (commercial RE, BOJ, etc) - Rate Cut - Yield curve un inverts

bradyn
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Raising interest rates so rapidly and so high in a global economy drowning in debt will lead to an economic crash when that debt becomes unserviceable. It hasn't happened yet because there's a lag between when interest rates are raised and when the pain sets in. If you want data on that just look at the Fed funds rate chart over time, showing periods of recession.

Brettagher
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Thanks Mark. Great video! I've been a bit nervous because of the doom and gloomers. You have a way of dissolving that. I look forward to next week.

tylerdurdenswallowedthered
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This all depends on how long the gov wants to play the print money game

RealWorldFinanceReactions
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What about housing? School debt? Credit card debt?

schulze
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Whatever happened to Fed shrinking their balance sheet?

JDHart
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“Stock prices have reached what looks like a permanently high plateau.”

New York Times
October 16, 1929

WLLim_
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Welp, looks like we’re gonna need a bigger credit card.

FargoFX