Nate Silver's 2024 Forecast: Harris Narrowly Hits 270 Electoral Votes

Nate Silver just released his 2024 presidential election model for the Trump v Harris matchup. Let’s fill out an Electoral College map based on these numbers as there has been a major shift in the race to 270 electoral votes between Vice President Harris and Minnesota Governor Tim Walz up against former President Trump and Ohio Senator JD Vance.
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Election Predictions Official is the fastest-growing non-partisan political channel on YouTube, focused on analyzing and forecasting elections based on socio-demographics, polling data, and voting patterns. My official 2020 Presidential Election Forecast correctly predicted the outcome in 49 of 50 states. My 2022 Senate Forecast accurately projected the winners in 33 of 34 races.
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This channel is run solely by Ryan Gest, a student at The George Washington University's School of Media and Public Affairs, and an elections data science fellow at Decision Desk HQ.
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[randylee]

I cannot believe that half of my country still support this nightmare

[BemjaminHernandez-bj]

Keep the non bias election perspective up

[steve.k]

in 2020 the average error in polling was 3% plug that in here and its a coin toss

[maxc]

Lordy I remember when the comment sections on this channel were relatively non partisan and people could actually have meaningful discussions💀. The channel itself has remained non partisan which I commend but idk why the viewership changed so drastically since 2020

[TheYoungs]

I learned that every election year August spits out inflated polls. Look it up and make sure you vote! ❤️

[FEMcDaniel]

Not too concerned... I believe it will shift back to Trump once she does a debate or unscripted news interview.

[TheGtoPro]

Lets hope we get this done! Lets go Harris!

[rica-dr]

2016 proved he was really just Nate Bronze

[mikewhelan]

" Silver called five states wrong in the 2016 election, assuming Hillary Clinton would end up with 302 electoral votes (she got 232).

In fact, the entire 2016 campaign season was been characterized by a series of spectacular Silver blunders "

[CommaderJohn]

Voting Trump, because I am not a communist

[ddbfa]

I call BS!!! She was lower than Biden and now she's neck and neck with Trump?! 😂😂😂 Don't believe nothing what you hear and half what you see!!

[mojo-eqln]

If she wins, expect a continued economic decline

[Ateist]

No new poll analysis?

Harris is racing forward and Trump is rambling away.🌊

Harris/Walz 2024 🇺🇲💙

[joeystrait]

Don’t forget about the silent majority. Lots of people aren’t on the polls. I think the debate if there is one will be huge for this election. Hopefully, trump wins.

[Himmithy]

MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN!!🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸

[Chris-hksd]

Who could vote for her if it's going to be worse then now high Gass prices high groceries

[MarvinATitus-zkgt]

Sienna College Research Institute just released their poll and found that Harris is +4 points over Trump in MI, PA, and WI. However, because the survey has an about +4 MOE, Harris and Trump are tied in those states from a purely statistical perspective.

[Radworm]

Good thing the election isn’t today and she has yet to do an interview off teleprompter or a debate. She just said yesterday that inflation is caused by corporate price fixing. 🙄

[pokepersonzach]

Love your videos…hate your comment section. Remember when it was filled with interesting insight and not people crying about whoever was in office at the moment…me too good times.

[jaylenwaddle]

For the love of God keep that woman out of office