Scary Gold Price Drop! Start Buying Gold & Silver Like Crazy When This Happens - Chris Vermeulen

Scary Gold Price Drop! Start Buying Gold & Silver Like Crazy When This Happens - Chris Vermeulen

Investors should watch for a sharp spike in red volume bars and headlines signaling widespread financial distress, such as bankruptcies and Wall Street turmoil. Historically, gold and gold miners tend to bottom and recover before the broader stock market, as seen in 2008 when they bottomed 3-4 months earlier. A similar pattern may unfold now: after a multi-year pause, gold has surged, mirroring the pre-2008 period when gold was overlooked in favor of booming stocks and real estate. As financial fears grow, investors often shift to gold to protect against currency risks and systemic instability.
The speaker, Chris Vermeulen, a seasoned financial analyst, trader, and founder of The Technical Traders, explains that the bond market remains under pressure as bond prices fall while rates stay high or rise. Uncertainty surrounds the Fed's actions, which are often reactionary and delayed. A stock market crash in early 2025 could shift the Fed's stance dramatically, but their unpredictability makes relying on news and economic data misleading. Instead, focus on market trends: falling bond prices and rising yields signal investors lack confidence in rate cuts anytime soon. Following the money and charts provides more precise insights than speculative headlines.
After analyzing the S&P 500's supercycle from the 2009 lows to recent highs, Chris highlights that a Fibonacci retracement suggests a potential market pullback of 32-42%, possibly extending to 50%. Breaking the 2022 low could trigger panic selling, signaling a washout bottom before a significant reset. Historical corrections, like the 50% drops in 2000 and 2008, show such declines are typical during unwinding events caused by market manipulation and QE.
Current signals, such as falling job openings despite low unemployment, point to mixed economic conditions. Depending on the nature of the market reset, the correction could unfold gradually over the years, like in 2000, or rapidly, like in 2008.
In a cross-talk with David Lin, Chris points out that the current cycle remains favorable for precious metals, with gold and energy stocks performing well as the stock market peaks. Gold could rise further in the next 1-2 months, potentially reaching $3,000. However, a pullback similar to 2008's 34% drop may occur as the economy shifts, bringing gold back to around $2,000 during the next bear market phase. This pullback could present a significant buying opportunity, potentially leading to a multi-year rally with gold reaching $5,000–$10,000. In the short term, the outlook for gold is bullish to neutral, with a likely sell-off later this year or early next year.
Moreover, The US dollar is a safe, low-volatility investment during uncertain times, allowing for larger allocations. The dollar index is breaking out of a multi-year base and could rise to 116–120 or higher, applying pressure on gold. Historically, the dollar has surged during significant bear markets like 2001 and 2008. Cash or the dollar index is currently the safest play as markets transition, offering protection while equities face potential declines.

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