The SP500 Looks NOTHING Like the 2000 and 2008 Bear Markets | This is a Different Type of Correction

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The wisest thing that should be on everyone's mind currently should be. To invest in different streams of income that doesn't depend on government, especially with the current economic crises around the world.

vincentbrown
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Everybody has been talking about the market crash, but nobody is really telling us where to put our money right now that we can invest and make money either before the crash, during the crash and after the crash I think that’s the most valuable information right now.

gilbertbrien
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“The Fed is going to keep hiking until something breaks.” There is also a political side of this Fed story leading up to the midterms, where the most pressing concern is inflation. China’s Covid lockdowns and the ongoing war in Ukraine means supply won’t be coming to aid in lower prices anytime soon. That means the source of taming inflation has to be demand destruction. There goes the earnings argument.

haozhao
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Only a few investors buy stocks at discount during bear markets. All other investors buy at premium during roaring bull markets. Investors who buy during bear markets have three qualities: Understanding of businesses, Conviction, Long term horizon.

gabrielaevita
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Talking about stocks, Forex and cryptocurrency trading is the most profitable venture I ever invested in, I reached my goal of $32k monthly trade earnings. Wondering if viewers here are familiar with Magaret’s trading strategy..?

cyanxuan
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The unemployment and earnings indicators you’re using lag. If earnings aren’t suffering what’s going on with Walmart, Snapchat, Amazon? And pretty much every other company… they’re all getting hammered because of earnings misses and downgrading earnings. I appreciate you making the bullish case because I know it’s important to keep an open mind. But the data you’re referring to is missing important context of the macro picture. I think any other market you would be right.. but we are facing a perfect storm of all types of disasters this year in the face of monetary tightening with a stock market that is priced for perfection and unlimited exponential growth.

macynavarro
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High earnings is not a good indicator when there is inflation. When an airline says they have record earnings it only means they have charged more than ever before for a ticket. Too many differences in the past and what it is now. There wasn't crypto, there wasn't as many meme stocks, there wasn't has much printed money etc etc...

tp
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Stocks are on the market! I purchased twice in 2008 when everyone shouted "falling sky." I've upped my purchasing again, but while I wait for stocks to recoup in the coming years, I'd want to know how to create strategies to earn short-term profits. I've heard individuals making thousands and millions in this down market.

clyde
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PCE came in in softer than expected, the Fed may not be so hawkish which is good for the markets. Lets see if the Fed walks the walk?

landscapevision
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on a recent Eurodollar University "(Nominal) Retail Sales Awesome! (Real) Sales Awful!" Emil and Jeff discussed how the latest consumer spending grows $-wise, but people actually buy less or worse stuff. Also, services did not recover or something like that. Compare it with earnings. Probably, it means that earnings must stay the same or decrease marginally, not go to zero. But the "crash" in consumer spending should propagate to earnings eventually. If so, then two opposite things are kind of true: 1) earnings can stay afloat for some time, and the market is oversold according to PE, but 2) the market could get in on the "real sales awful" bit and price in the consumer data to be ahead of the curve at predicting future.
If I was betting, I'd be with you on this: I think we are in a "volatile top", not a real bear market yet. I'd bet it should roll over by the end of the year, or even this summer.

xealit
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Both the yields and earnings are LAGING indicators NOT leading indicators contrary what many people think.

pbrigham
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It's NOT TO EARLY TO SAY, THERE IS A DELAY IN DOWN TURNS TO SHOW UP. 2 QUARTERS OF SLOWING GDP is all you need to know.
In 2019 the market was on fire with QE, NOW, there's about to be QT.. and raising rates at same time... Capitulation is coming soon. That will break use

CryptoBellwether
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Trouble is companies are already dropping their year end estimates against a strong prior year. Margin compression is hitting most companies. Any weakness in the consumer, it’ll be on the door step. Qqqs, bit coin, small cap are already there.

terencethompson
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Aren't you the same guy who said it's Is actually exactly like 2001 and 2008

blendermyles
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You fail to mention that we are more leveraged then 2000 and 2008.

mayhem
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fantastic overview...I've stopped and unsubscribed quite a few subscriptions trying to talk about stocks...here I've subscribed. Cheers!

archhangell
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Lived 1987 & was on the trading floor. You youngsters have no clue as to what is going to happen & how in an instance everything is wiped out as the baby with the bath water is thrown out. Everyone now euphoric with the recent rally... October 1987 was after retail & high flyers were taken down. How low is low?

stevenborovay
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As the fed continues QT will result in a further leg down than previously. The only unknown is how low.

kbro
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I'm with "Game of Trades" on this one!
We are going to have a massive rally in the next few months. However, I think we still have not seen the capitulation of the current bear market. Until that happens, we will keep going down for a few more days. I suspect there will be a sudden fall downwards and a liquidity squeeze from all assets (stocks, crypto, gold) when the margin calls have to cover. I am actually looking at gold and waiting for it to reach 1700 or less from a sudden liquidity squeeze. After I see that, I know I have the clear green light to enter the markets.

TheEmperor
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Hey Peter. Would you do a MACD analysis in the longer time frames? If you take a look at the quarterly MACD on the Nasdaq, that looks horrible. What's your POV on that?

andresacostaescobar