The Secret List of (soon to be) Extinct Jobs ———sincerely, AI

00:00 intro
00:53 prelim results
01:58 trends of general purpose technologies
06:00 impacted jobs
07:21 ALL HOPE IS NOT LOST (pls watch)

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[Celis.C]

AI could _enrich_ the lives of people globally by doing the jobs that are repetitive, boring and dangerous.
The _problem_ is that any and all earnings 'produced' by such AI systems stays in _private_ hands.
AI could - and should - be used for the betterment of humanity, not to fill the already overflowing pockets of the rich. THIS is why people fear losing their job, because society has been designed that you do not 'deserve' to be fed if you don't work (read: make the rich richer).

[exlofqh]

All I heard is: "Millions of people will be thrown into the streets but just think happy thoughts"

[softwarearchitecturematter]

Someone nicely said AI will not take your job but a person who knows how to leverage AI will take your job.

[edwardj]

Keynes predicted in the 1930's that productivity growth in the 20th century would be so great that people a hundred years hence would only need to work 20 hours a week to provide for themselves financially. He did not include the effect of the concentration of wealth in the hands of a small minority of the society, the resulting political and economic priorities which have resulted in the majority of people working MORE hours in 2023 than in 1973 under more traumatic conditions. Politics, not technology, is EVERYTHING

[victortran]

AI will likely destroy more jobs than it create. Even if people upskill and learn AI, the foreseeable job market feels very dystopia at least in term of white collar jobs.

[mtpjkon]

Students has heavy loans for getting masters and bachelors, when they finally graduate they will realise that there is no demand for their profession but they have a heavy educational dept to be paid. As far as I know higher education costs were steadily increasing in US over dacades. Such a sad story for gen z and early gen alpha.

[xdxvnsd]

Equating the printing press or combustion engine to AI is simplistic. It's like equating gun powder to nuclear power -- the scale of disruption and destruction is incomparable. The previous technological innovations were replacing the human physical capabilties; whereas AI is/will be replacing the human intellectual capabilities. The latter is what made humans unique.

[fabianmarin]

Very insightful video. As a software engineer, when ChatGPT first came out, I was worried it would take my job since it's become so good at coding. Then I realized my job is to deal with irrational, illogical, irreconcilable requests from stake holders, and translate THOSE requests into code. My job is safe. Thank you PMs, never appreciated your madness till now.

[matt_milack]

If AI make majority of people globally jobless, because companies, corporations and conglomerates will significantly reduce the amount of their worker, how will they make more profit if all of those jobless people will not be able to buy their products and services?
Basically, if teams of 10 workers get reduced to 2 workers, across all industries, globally, that means that 80% of people who used to buy companies products and services will not be able to do so anymore, because they will be jobless. So, I don't get how reducing costs by automation makes sense for companies if they lose 80% of their previous market.

[Indrid__Cold]

The issue is that a sudden forced career change usually results and in a lower standard of living for those impacted from which they NEVER recover. Look at the history of telephone operators for prime example.

[ronneymccarthy]

Small businesses using AI to take orders, for instance, is still taking jobs. AI is different than other innovations because is meant to be us, millions of jobs will be lost with no replacements.

[crystalw]

Corp greed overshadows these inventions. The electric companies, railway companies, heck even the fridge companies expect you to shell out $1000's and give you a fridge that is not built to last like it used to. Companies will continue to lay people off to cut corners. Saving money and making profits doesn't lead to spending money on people, only machines that will do the work without asking for a day off

[Chicharrera.]

I was 15 in 1985 when my parents bought my 16 year old brother a personal computer. Then, I remember where I was when I first heard of the internet. It was February 1995 and I was 25. It was 1992 when I saw the first mobile phone in the office. It only took 38 years and now we have the AI boom to face. Its all happened terrifyingly fast.😬

[OnigoroshiZero]

I really can't stop laughing when I hear people say that there will be new jobs because of AI.
Think for a second, AI is literally doing the same mental work as a human, but faster and cheaper. ANY kind of new (required) job that will be created, the AI will be able to do it, and it will learn to do it faster than any human.

Why pay for a programmer to do the work of 10 with an AI assistant, when I can just ask my own AI assistant to do the same job cutting the middleman altogether?
Why go ask a designer that uses AI to make x10 more work for a design, when I can just ask my own AI assistant to do the entire design on its own.

AI is NOT the same as any other past technology, it will literally be able to do EVERYTHING a human can, but it will ALWAYS be cheaper, faster, and with more knowledge.
One example is prompt engineering. It will be the most short-lived profession in the history of humanity. For most new AI models (LLMs and image generation), there is already no need for prompt engineering, because the latest models can understand natural langue better than most humans at this point. And this will keep advancing.
In a couple of years at most, we will be able to ask an AI to generate a movie, software, or even an entire game, and it will be able to do it with no other input (except asking for preferences if it's not a personal assistant) and without any kind of prompt engineering.

The only types of jobs that I can see that are not going to be lost (at least for the next few decades), are related to live performances (sports, bands, etc.)
We just love to watch other humans do things that look hard or even impossible, and that require insane amounts of training and/or talent. We will continue to pay for tickets to watch them live.

[Naeruk]

As a creative writing who put more that seven years of his live just learning how to write properly, yes, where the f*ck is the future? I thought that it was a inspirational video

[_remblanc]

The paper in question uses a dataset used in a study that Oxford and Deloitte have conducted in 2016, where they ran predictions for up to 2030. That study’s predictions ended up not really holding up all that well, so I fail to see why I shouldn’t be skeptical of this study, especially given the vested interest OpenAI has in promoting its technology through such rhetoric.

[PrimexMaxusTitan]

Why tf do people want ai to replace writers and artists so bad? It’s actually appalling to me

[QwertyNPC]

High paying jobs usually require education and good education was always a counterweight for populist politicians, cheaters, cult leaders etc. If education is no longer the route for better jobs then the quality of education will take a nosedive. This could be disastrous in consequences. If the predictions prove to be correct then being optimistic about it seems plain foolish.

[alevyts]

You don't need a job, you need money. Admit it, if you had enough money, you would be engaged in creativity, self-development, and your family, and not be tied to a machine (framework) all your life. You don't really need a job, you need to take back your life for yourself, not be a slave to someone else.

[starpravesh]

The rise of jobs like prompt engineers but the fall of programmers feels weird to me. Prompt engineers are essentially programmers using a different form of code to give the AI specific set of instructions.
Then again, to develop these AI models requires programmers to create these models and train them. Since a programmer is just someone who gives the computer instructions to do, we will always need them unless the AI can instruct and repair itself like it is conscious, but by then, we will have a much bigger problem.