Introduction to Forecasting - with Examples

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Topics
00:00 Introduction
00:29 Types of forecasting techniques
03:40 Forecasting accuracy - mean absolute deviation (mad), mean square error (mse), and mean absolute percentage error (mape) calculations using qm for windows
04:20 Example using QM for Windows
05:37 Components of time series (trend, seasonality, cycles, and random variation)
07:05 Moving average and weighted moving average
09:21 Exponential smoothing
10:28 Exponential smoothing with trend adjustment
11:06 Seasonal index
13:05 Example problem and solution, Centered moving average method
15:45 Additive decomposition model, regression with trend and seasonal component
21:09 Monitoring and controlling forecasts
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Thanks for your explaination, i tend to forget it before but now i think im remember it now

hazimrashid
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Very detailed and easy to follow.  Thank you for methodical and easy to understand synopsis of the standard forecasting techniques!

kennethmillender
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#Forecasting

Forecasting is the process of making predictions of the future based on past and present data and most commonly by analysis of trends. A commonplace example might be estimation of some variable of interest at some specified future date. Prediction is a similar, but more general term. 👍 forecasting? #projection??? stocks etc

meda
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excuse me mr. rai, could u please send me the paper that support the barrier for MAD tracking control chart, it says -+8 for low volume item and -+4 for high volume item, thank you

ghifariyoga
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Can you share whole playlist where you coding in rs studio from scratch on multiple regression or different algorithm of r studio

parth
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why are demand rather than sales values used in forecasting please?

yvewoyome
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Which tool you were using in this video for forecasting?

anandlodha
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Small dought sir
In weight column the value for week 4 is 7.33 or 9.33

belazydocrazy
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Little confusing when you try to do it by yourself as need to be case study

sunildutt
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Sir use good micro phone, , becoz there is disturbance in audio

ragavm
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Bharat Sir...it will be great if you can take a case study on Time series (Exponential smoothing) or ARIMA Methodology in R studio.

vikrantnag
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sir volume kam h...audio quality improve kijiyega

akashhooda