The Fourth Turning: Why American 'Crisis' May Last Until 2030

Above is a video narrated by Hedgeye Demography Sector Head Neil Howe describing the generational theory put forth in his 1997 classic “The Fourth Turning,” co-authored with William Strauss.

Neil’s work has influenced politicians from Newt Gingrich to Al Gore and all of it culminates in a grand theory advanced in The Fourth Turning. According to Time magazine, President Donald Trump’s influential chief political strategist Steve Bannon was “captivated” by the book.

[Jc-dofy]

Time traveler from 2020 here. The sht is hitting the fan.

[rdobery]

Plant a garden. Turn off the television. Be charitable when possible and ruthless when not.

[bcbp]

2021 checking in. Shit is INTENSIFYING.

[vindex]

Time traveller from 2023 here… idk what’s going on anymore. Apes are trading stocks, computers have their own currency, house prices are ridiculous, wages and salaries are a joke… we’re currently living out the rentpocolypse. Back to you time traveller from 2025!

[noidreculse]

I think the 2020’s are going to be hell for people who are content. I am 70 years old and glad I am near the end of my own cycle. Hold on to your seat, everything is about to change

[dennisyurconis]

Hard times create strong men. Strong create good times. Good times create weak men. Weak men create hard times. There is your four turnings in a nutshell

[cedricbethea]

This video is beginning to make a lot more sense as of March 30, 2020. Lockdowns, pandemics, etc. Neil nailed it.

[RealTalkkWithEli]

Watching this in June 2020. This seems very accurate at most points

[klinchrx]

Now in 2020 with the COVID-19 Pandemic, all of this man is explaining in this video makes a lot of sense now. It's shocking.

[henryate]

Anyone here after the spirited man's video?

[mkmason]

"From bondage to spiritual faith; From spiritual faith to great courage;
From courage to liberty; From liberty to abundance;
From abundance to complacency; From complacency to apathy;
From apathy to dependence; From dependence back into bondage."

[dannyboy]

There is no comparison between the great depression and the great recession. In the crash people starved. In the recession...people ate out less.

[Alex_Plante]

SInce 2007 we've been living through a stifled 4th turning, where every institution is using every last ounce of its power and influence to prevent the 4th turning from taking place. At some point things will snap.

[ponttepontte]

It so funny listening to this knowing what happened 4 years later

[AsAngelsFall]

As someone in 2021 now, this is downright scary. But here's hoping that in the next 10 years, we can all look back with a sigh of relief that the worst is behind us, and we can all flourish together on a new leaf.

[rubster]

The one thing he got wrong here in my opion is that the "trend" is not so much the rise in nationalism. It's more the rise of extreme cultural relativism, identity politics and globalism, which causes a reactionary movement, including nationalism.

[vaporwavevocap]

Watching the Crisis going on today, watching the establishment response, the idea that anyone would ever trust any institution again would be a black pill.

[JoeMacStevens]

Damn, so we have 9 more years of this craziness and a big war to look forward to.

[drumming]

2024 time traveler here.

Update: it got worse.

[portlandsamber]

I feel like this is the puzzle piece I've been searching for. It all makes sense finally.