Finding Stock Market Bottoms

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In today's video, I'm going to show you exactly what to look for to find a stock market bottom. No bull market has ever started without a follow-through day, a concept from William O'Neil's "How to Make Money in Stocks." We'll dive into the daily chart of the S&P 500 and I'll walk you through the specific indicators I use to gain confidence that the market might turn around. This approach is fact-based and historically validated, but it's important to note that it doesn't mean you should go all-in when we start seeing these signals.

I'll explain what an attempted rally looks like and highlight the importance of a follow-through day, where the S&P 500 must rise by 1.2% or more on higher volume than the previous day, typically occurring between the fourth and seventh day of the rally. We'll look at historical examples from 2023, 2022, the pandemic period, 2018, and the financial crisis of 2008-2009 to illustrate this process.

Additionally, I'll discuss the importance of watching for distribution days, which can signal caution even after a follow-through day, and other elements like expected moves, the five-day moving average, and the gamma flip line. These additional tools help manage risk and increase confidence in potential market bottoms.

Throughout the video, I'll use recent price actions and indicators to demonstrate how to apply this knowledge practically, helping you navigate the market more confidently. Join me as we delve into the details and strategies to identify a stock market bottom and potentially catch the start of a new bull market.

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#Stock​market #StockMarketAnalysis #Day​Trading
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As always, top class analysis and analogies. Appreciate your work!

rk
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Thanks Mike for this video and sharing the link. Somehow YouTube wouldn’t show it when looking for it.

Jayisms
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One of the best videos from this channel and more broadly ❤

weiye
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Another gem of a video Mike. Thank you!

victorobi
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Can you please post the link to access the market net flow program you’re using. Thank you!

TharinduN
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Wonderful educational content. Thank you!!!

Waitaminutesilly
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I’m just gonna wait till you tell me the bottom is in!!🎉

mh----b
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You're not drinking tonight I see Silva 😁

soloman
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How do you make that chart on trading view ? All puts, all calls and market net flow ?

dmitrybernadiner
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This year could turn out worse. I lost a lot of money last year as a result of poor investing decisions that I would never have made if I hadn't been so concerned about my portfolio. I wasn't sure whether to keep investing or make mortgage payments. After selling my investments, I discovered that the house required more work than I expected. I'm not sure how long I can go on like this.

ryanmoulds
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Recessions don't begin new bull markets, they END THEM. 😂

shinymike
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I follow this and $bpnya. 3 box breakouts historically set the trend.

anthonyballog
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How can you determine "Expected Move* for the day?

williewest
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Why would day 1 not count if meets conditions thus the reversal day?

markmorecrypto
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The last hope is IWM staying above 200

smellyforestboy
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the bottom will see in 2026 so waiting for 2 years declination

jefj-jt
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So looks like capitulation? Ready to take back off.

Mike_Affholder
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