Labour could face tougher challenge in future election after constituency shuffle

A re-drawing of UK constituencies may have a big impact on the next general election.

The changes mean there will be more seats in England and fewer in Wales and Scotland, and if the boundaries had existed in 2019, estimates show the Conservatives may have won by a bigger margin.

Sky's deputy political editor Sam Coates walks us through the data and what it will mean for voters and the parties' seats in the Commons.

#rishisunak #generalelection #keirstarmer

[joshuaherbert]

The two things this analysis ignores is that the 2019 election was very unusual.

1) The Torys have 'borrowed votes' that will Naturally return to Labour even if the Torys were doing well.

2) The brexit / Reform party is not standing down this time. And the torys will experience what labour have suffered with for decades, with the vote being split under first past the post.

The Torys are facing annihilation. If I failed in every aspect of my Job or acted corruptly in a professional environment i would get sacked. The Torys don't get an automatic right to governance. And bad performance should be punished.

[RogueWJL]

How anyone could bring themselves to vote Conservative after the mess the Country is in is beyond me.

[conred]

Come off it the Tories will never win they've pissed off the whole country.

[ffotograffydd]

It was designed to favour the Tories, but it’s probably not going to pan out that way.

[itsme]

Honestly as long as we get rid of the tories I don't care, I've never seen a more corrupt/hypocritical party in my life and that's saying alot considering how politicians are.

[MabDarogan]

This just confirms how fundamentally undemocratic 'first past the post' is. Time for proportional representation.

[liamhumphreys]

Interviews on this are misleading as they chose Buckingham- the most Tory of Tory market towns. However, the boundary changes have put it with Bletchley a v different constituency. Perhaps for balance doorstep in both locations. Worth noting that Bletchley has a MUCH bigger population

[aytw]

When people say "they are as bad as each other"? what does that mean exactly? Labour hasn't been in government for 13 years, and everything has gone wrong in that 13 years.

[Nannyirene]

Gerrymandering should be a criminal offence.

[xXVeranXx]

Please don't listen to anyone saying to vote for smaller parties. As long as the left vote is split Tories will keep winning. Vote tactically to get these idiots out, at least until we have a hope of a better system than FPTP.

[Dom-fkte]

So the tories just needed to be very slightly competent and they would've ruled uncontested for eternity. Unfortunately they couldn't manage it.

[garyarnold]

Sky's prediction of the G.E. from the council election results is ridiculous. It doesn't factor in Scotland or Wales or the fact that they'll be few independents in the G.E.

[ic]

Politics is over !!!! The two party system needs to go !!!

[rokadaprliinnysystemyaczno]

What we really need is the ability to recall MPs who break their promises, not new boundaries 😂

[harrybarrow]

This makes it very clear that we need proportional representation.
That is the only way we can have a representative parliament.
FPTP is about the WORST possible electoral system.

[Bruce-yvtm]

In a first past the post system NO vote will be equal. PROPORTIONAL REPRESENTATION NOW

[shaungains]

This is just coping. Rishi and the Tories are going to lose.

[stonelane]

Ah the Tory propaganda engine is warming up again.

[kenw]

Less than 5% swing over Labour would mean 8% (81) is max. Starmer can forget about 125 seats (12%). Scotland 9% (15) is max. Nice figure analysis.

[theAEDan]

News still pretending it matters who wins; 2024 edition.