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The Fourth Danube Institute – The Heritage Foundation Geopolitical Summit - DAY 1 PART 1
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Since the last Danube Institute-Heritage Foundation Geopolitical Summit, the world has seen a number of changes and accelerations. Within democracies, we have seen more people vote in 2024 than in any year in modern history; we have seen the power of corporations continue to increase, with implications for the power of the state; we have seen the erosion of the remaining vestiges of post-cold war unipolarity, and the consolidation of a multipolar model of world power; we have seen increasing tensions between the advocates of the energy realism, and the heralds of energy idealism; and we have seen the competition for hearts and minds and the supposed ‘moral high ground’, in the context of at least two wars that have divided the opinions of nations and families alike.
In the context of all of this, this year’s Summit brings together leading thinkers, writers, and practitioners to discuss these topics, centered on the unifying theme that they all share: ‘Whose New World Order?’
Does the near future belong to the left or right? Does power lie with the state, or corporate interests, and which is preferable? Who sets the rules of the game in a multipolar world? Which energy strategy will best prepare societies for the rainy days ahead? And which narratives of peace and justice will prevail, in the face of escalating conflicts with global implications? The panels will discuss all these topics in the context of the conference theme.
0:00 - INTRO
0:27 - WELCOME REMARKS
2:03 - Prof. Dr. Tamás Dezső, President, Board of Trustees of the Batthyány
Lajos Foundation
6:48 - Dr. James Jay Carafano, Senior Counselor to the President and E. W.
Richardson Fellow, The Heritage Foundation
9:16 - KEYNOTE ADDRESS
9:48 - Balázs Orbán, Political Director to the Prime Minister
29:19 - PANEL I, DEMOCRACY 2024: WHOSE DEMOCRACY? WHAT RULES?
As is well-known, in 2024 more people will vote than in any year in modern history. In some countries, from the Netherlands to Argentina, the outcome was not only conservative, but revolutionary. In others, from France to the UK, conservatives faced either shock defeats, or shock margins of defeat. Elsewhere, like India, conservatives have maintained power, while in the US the result has yet to be decided. In the face of these disparate circumstance and outcomes, what if any patterns can be discerned? What are the prospects of the right, and what are the geopolitical implications? The panelists will reflect on the patterns of voting in 2024, and debate their implications for world order.
31:23 - Panel Keynote: Honorable Lord David Frost, Member of the House
of Lords, U.K., former diplomat, civil servant & Tory politician
51:40 - Prof. Ryszard Legutko, Former Member of the European Parliament
1:00:49 Henry Olsen, Senior Fellow, Ethics & Public Policy Center; Host,
Beyond the Polls Podcast
1:07:47 - John Fund, National Affairs Columnist, National Review magazine;
Contributor, Fox News
1:20:17 - István Kiss, Executive Director, Danube Institute
1:27:11 - PANEL I, AUDIENCE QUESTIONS
1:40:36 - PANEL II, CORPORATE POWER & THE STATE: DEBATING PUBLIC-PRIVATE PARTNERSHIPS
Recent decades have been marked by the proliferation - and conglomeration - of large multinational corporations. Increasingly, corporate actors wield vast influence not only over politics and policy, but in setting the norms of the society that politics and policy serves. Inevitably, the rising power of corporations provokes important questions about state sovereignty, the operation of power, and fundamentally the question of whose interest is being served. The panel will not only address this complex issue, and consider the risks and
opportunities presented by the increasingly close relationship between corporations and governments, but also what balance of power is likely to dominate the world order in the coming years.
1:43:52 - Panel Keynote: Prof. S. John Tsagronis, Professor of Statecraft and
National Security Affairs, The Institute of World Politics
2:05:57 - László Jónás, CEO of Design Terminal, Budapest
2:14:42 - Jeffrey Hoffman, Senior Fellow (Cyber), The Gold Institute For
International Strategy
2:29:47 - Nathan Levine, Visiting Fellow, Danube Institute; Visiting Fellow at the Simon Centre, The Heritage Foundation
In the context of all of this, this year’s Summit brings together leading thinkers, writers, and practitioners to discuss these topics, centered on the unifying theme that they all share: ‘Whose New World Order?’
Does the near future belong to the left or right? Does power lie with the state, or corporate interests, and which is preferable? Who sets the rules of the game in a multipolar world? Which energy strategy will best prepare societies for the rainy days ahead? And which narratives of peace and justice will prevail, in the face of escalating conflicts with global implications? The panels will discuss all these topics in the context of the conference theme.
0:00 - INTRO
0:27 - WELCOME REMARKS
2:03 - Prof. Dr. Tamás Dezső, President, Board of Trustees of the Batthyány
Lajos Foundation
6:48 - Dr. James Jay Carafano, Senior Counselor to the President and E. W.
Richardson Fellow, The Heritage Foundation
9:16 - KEYNOTE ADDRESS
9:48 - Balázs Orbán, Political Director to the Prime Minister
29:19 - PANEL I, DEMOCRACY 2024: WHOSE DEMOCRACY? WHAT RULES?
As is well-known, in 2024 more people will vote than in any year in modern history. In some countries, from the Netherlands to Argentina, the outcome was not only conservative, but revolutionary. In others, from France to the UK, conservatives faced either shock defeats, or shock margins of defeat. Elsewhere, like India, conservatives have maintained power, while in the US the result has yet to be decided. In the face of these disparate circumstance and outcomes, what if any patterns can be discerned? What are the prospects of the right, and what are the geopolitical implications? The panelists will reflect on the patterns of voting in 2024, and debate their implications for world order.
31:23 - Panel Keynote: Honorable Lord David Frost, Member of the House
of Lords, U.K., former diplomat, civil servant & Tory politician
51:40 - Prof. Ryszard Legutko, Former Member of the European Parliament
1:00:49 Henry Olsen, Senior Fellow, Ethics & Public Policy Center; Host,
Beyond the Polls Podcast
1:07:47 - John Fund, National Affairs Columnist, National Review magazine;
Contributor, Fox News
1:20:17 - István Kiss, Executive Director, Danube Institute
1:27:11 - PANEL I, AUDIENCE QUESTIONS
1:40:36 - PANEL II, CORPORATE POWER & THE STATE: DEBATING PUBLIC-PRIVATE PARTNERSHIPS
Recent decades have been marked by the proliferation - and conglomeration - of large multinational corporations. Increasingly, corporate actors wield vast influence not only over politics and policy, but in setting the norms of the society that politics and policy serves. Inevitably, the rising power of corporations provokes important questions about state sovereignty, the operation of power, and fundamentally the question of whose interest is being served. The panel will not only address this complex issue, and consider the risks and
opportunities presented by the increasingly close relationship between corporations and governments, but also what balance of power is likely to dominate the world order in the coming years.
1:43:52 - Panel Keynote: Prof. S. John Tsagronis, Professor of Statecraft and
National Security Affairs, The Institute of World Politics
2:05:57 - László Jónás, CEO of Design Terminal, Budapest
2:14:42 - Jeffrey Hoffman, Senior Fellow (Cyber), The Gold Institute For
International Strategy
2:29:47 - Nathan Levine, Visiting Fellow, Danube Institute; Visiting Fellow at the Simon Centre, The Heritage Foundation
3:51:14
3:33:31
3:08:28
2:09:18
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3:01:13
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