Covid-19 through the mathematical crystal ball

ONLINE Chai and Why?
Sunday April 4, 2021
11:00 AM to 12:15 PM
Zoom Webinar and Livestream on YT and FB

Covid-19 through the mathematical crystal ball
Sandeep Juneja, TIFR

As we all know, if unchecked, Covid-19 can spread (and re-spread) at a maddening pace and with tragic consequences. So is there a method to the madness? If so, can we uncover it? Mathematical modelling is about simply capturing patterns with the view to predict and control. Does maths have a role in managing the pandemic? Somewhat religiously, when all else fails, math modellers turn to simulations. In this talk we discuss the mathematical and simulation modelling of Covid-19 spread, its successes and limitations. We focus primarily on TIFR scientists' efforts in predicting the first two Covid-19 waves in Mumbai, some frustrations in predicting the ongoing third wave, and on how vaccines may help us come out of the pandemic.

About the speaker:
Prof. Sandeep Juneja is the Dean of the School of Technology and Computer Science at TIFR and works in applied probability including in sequential learning, mathematical finance, Monte Carlo methods, and game theoretic analysis of queues. Lately, he has been involved in modelling Covid-19 spread in Mumbai, and in mathematics of such epidemiological models.

[shubhambasera]

Thanks !
Cool mathematical modeling !