Institutional Investors QUIT | Home Liquidation Begins

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Institutional Investors QUIT | Home Liquidation Begins
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no one entity should be legally to own 58 thousand homes

ryanrodgers
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In my area, home price has to crash at least 30% in order to return to the 2019 level.

fdr
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This is on purpose. The whole reason we rose interest rates was to make short term bonds a better deal than real estate. Even the fed now agrees that if we can't even house our own citizen's, our country's standing in the world is a joke. On paper now, it makes sense for investors to leave the housing sector but sucks for anyone who's bought recently because the next expected thing is all of the house prices are going to crash if they do really leave.

briankay
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I am seeing commercial property for lease everywhere. Businesses have closed. The economy is trash.

michellerahn
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I forgot again. Work got me busy. Still here....

mellie
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Some decade when the history gets written, the story will be about how an entire generation was impoverished—by INVESTORS.

tristanotear
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Case shiller numbers are out for April. -13% nationally in hone values for April, alone.

Dee-wy
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Interesting video, lots of data thanks for the great job, I will state though that with regards to the Starwood sales, they are only unloading 2000 homes that were acquired in 2021 as part of another acquisition, so these aren't homes that have a large amount of built up equity, the 3200 homes are about 10% of their portfolio which is actually comprised primarily of apartments, hotels, and other commercial holdings. The source cited in the article wouldn't speculate on why the homes were being sold but the article was fairly clear that these were not distress sales and Starwood expects to collect current market value for the properties in question, but yes, more inventory coming to market is good.

The other part of the argument is that many corporate landlords and REITS are losing investors as shareholders are pulling their money out, but in the overwhelming number of cases (like Invitation Homes for example), they are actually drawing profit from these sales precipitated by shareholders pulling their cash from the trusts, and they are still in most cases net buyers even after selling to compensate departing shareholders, it's kinda like a one step forward 2 step back process and of course the properties these big corporations are selling are their least desirable properties, and they are reinvesting into higher priced real estate.

The argument has been that higher interest rates would spur upside down sellers to list properties, and that hasn't happened, not even here in high priced California. Then it was supposed to be new homes flooding the market and crashing prices, well last month new home sales comprised almost a quarter of all homes sold in the country, and builders continue raking profits and building sentiment hit an all time high, then it was short term rentals crashing the market, but still even though bookings are down sharply in many cities the homeowners are overwhelmingly reverting them to long tern rentals rather than listing them, in short every major source of potential price crashes hasn't born out in the last 3 years.

I certainly don't mean to single you out, because there are many who having making predictions with less than accurate results, the only thing that is undisputable is this, if anybody really knew how to read the housing market and economy correctly the last few years they would have BOUGHT property, not sold it, and tapped into the cash flow of rising rents and squirreled away the equity born by the record rise in home prices. Here's the bottom line, even if by some major event or circumstance housing crashed 30% tomorrow home prices would still be well above the pre-pandemic prices, I think this is going to be a slow unwind of the trends exacerbated by the pandemic, and prices will likely be stagnant for the next few years (at least until the 2028 presidential election), could I be wrong? absolutely but then so has practically everyone who has tried to call the next housing "crash".

davidnoticiero
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A flicker at the end of the tunnel, finally.

kim.in.nature.
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Starwood is the industry leader. If they are selling then that is a very bad sign for the housing market. Buckle up !

nonenone
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I just saw that Starwood sold the 2000 homes to invitation homes. So I guess invitation is now a net buyer in the 2000 homes never made it to the market for normal people to buy. Who would’ve thought?

doggonegoodtime
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Las Vegas market sell off is due to shoddy building practices that the houses are cracking up. Don't buy in Vegas at any price.

lc
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Institutional sales are peanuts compared to the big picture. Who ever buys a rent car for their primary car? 😒

DavidWillims
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Loving the thumbnails. High end and simple. Thanks again for the data!

aliciaa.
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All this is fine, but when can ppl buy homes? The prices have gone up and ppl are on sidelines.

rakeshdv
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Ninja has been predicting this for a long time, and now it's happening.

annaburns
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Do these trusts have adjustable rate loans? If so that would explain why they sell, not so much prices dropping.

miket
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Investors are unemotional and will head for the exits well before they get packed with the general crowd. Their margins are being squeezed as the cost of rolling over debt skyrockets.

toinengwyn
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The subject here is some selling at the margins of a few thousand homes out of a national inventory of call it 750, 000 single-family rentals held by large institutions. I wouldn't read too much into such selling at this point. But I do like how Travis gathers charts and other numerical data for people to evaluate as they consider their course of action.

marcmcreynolds
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Damn I must be on autopilot at work today 😂 I was wondering what that notification was for. Absolutely Bonkers!

SacredZephyr
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