Tropical update: Potential Tropical Cyclone has 100% chance of becoming Julia

This new Potential Tropical Cyclone is the 4th of the season. It's moving due west, getting lots of land interactions that are keeping it weak.

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[stephanyrasmijn]

Hi from Aruba. We have gotten very minimal rainfall as of now. Just now did it get more windy, but very minimal rain and thunder. We are blessed, every tropical system has missed us this year!

[anthonyhodgeman]

Ian was like this storm then became a monster storm

[zeppylinn]

Thank you sir I enjoy watching your reports.

[nataliaglavan]

I rebuke that storm in Jesus name amen

[jaycee]

As usual very good and detailed report. Thank you

[hemantbaldeosingh]

One death in Trinidad already that was caused by the PTC

[tjtampa]

Great info, thank you. Glad to hear about the new PTC scale. Good to have those warnings. 👌

[lisanderalexis]

Thanks for the news greetings from aruba🇦🇼

[donkeydan]

I’m goin to Cancun on Oct 18, please stay south!!

[markuswaldron]

TOBAGO got very strong winds gusting to 45mph soon as a 1007mb low developed at around 9am seas 🌊 came in at 9ft with torrential rain 🌧 and winds sustained all day 30-35mph

[diannadima]

so how does this effect the south west? Like AZ.? We have sure gotten a lot more rain than we are used to.

[nymack]

This thing will linger in the Caribbean as we have a cold vortex pushing into Florida from the midwest so it has no chance in hell of working its way up to anywhere in Florida for sure.

[Galloway]

Why does the hurricane center only use 90-99 for Invests? Are the lower numbers used for other kinds of storms?

[unkownsnipersgang]

Is that a chance it can go back to the sea and intensity???!

[rubentirado]

Every storm has a character. They are all different.

[mashleymorgan]

I feel like I’ve never seen a storm have a 100% chance of development. It will usually just develop before it reaches this point.

[tohteen]

1st time I’ve seen a storm getting 100% in both 2 and 5 days

[hy-xqvu]

I never really saw a system having a 100% chance of development 👀🤷🏾‍♂️

[randymillhouse]

"Julia, Julia, Ocean Child, calls me. So I sing a song of love Julia."

[franciscorivera]

Why are hurricanes now being called cyclones? Cyclones are in the Pacific right? Hurricanes are on the Atlantic right? I don't understand