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Full Ep: Where Will Inflation Signs Lead?
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Stocks surged following the release of U.S. Consumer Price Index data for October, a softer-than-expected print taken as sure sign inflation is on the downslope. But all Andy Constan sees is another “false dawn.”
Andy, now the CEO of Damped Spring and a veteran of both Solomon Brothers and Bridgewater Associates, says markets face significant headwinds because of quantitative tightening.
He joins Andreas Steno Larsen to talk about the main drivers of financial asset prices right now – contracting liquidity, risk premia, and positioning, among others – and to share his “Framework 101” for building portfolios and generating alpha. Recorded on November 16, 2022.
TIMESTAMPS:
1 What Is Your Perspective on Markets Right Now? 01:12
2 How Do You Factor in Risk Premiums and Inflation into Your Analysis? 08:51
3 What's Your Base Case on the Fed? 0:13:13
4 The Makings of a False Dawn 2.0 0:17:27
5 What Indicators Do You Use to Determine Positioning and Releveraging? 0:23:11
6 The Four Pillars That Drive Major Macro Assets 0:26:24
7 What's Your Assessment of the Current Environment Based on These Four Pillars? 0:40:37
8 The Takeaways 0:45:57
Thanks for watching Real Vision Finance!
#macro #inflation2022 #inflation
About Real Vision™:
Real Vision™ is where you can gain an understanding of the complex world of finance, business, and the global economy with real in-depth analysis from real experts.
Connect with Real Vision™ Online:
#Macro #finance #macroeconomy #markets #financialmarkets #bonds #stocks #oil #gas #commodities #equities #gold
Disclaimer:
This is pretty obvious, but we should probably say it anyway so there is no confusion…The material in REAL VISION GROUP video programs and publications {collectively referred to as “RV RELEASES”} is provided for informational purposes only and is NOT investment advice. The information in RV RELEASES has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but Real Vision and its contributors, distributors and/or publisher, licensors, and their respective employees, contractors, agents, suppliers, and vendors { collectively, “Affiliated Parties”} make no representation or warranty as to the accuracy, timeliness or completeness of the content in RV RELEASES. Any data included in RV RELEASES are illustrative only and not for investment purposes. Any opinion or recommendation expressed in RV RELEASES is subject to change without notice. RV Releases do not recommend, explicitly nor implicitly, nor suggest or recommend any investment strategy. Real Vision Group and its Affiliated Parties disclaim all liability for any loss that may arise (whether direct indirect, consequential, incidental, punitive, or otherwise) from any use of the information in RV RELEASES. Real Vision Group and its Affiliated Parties do not have regard for any individual, group of individuals, or entity’s specific investment objectives, financial situation, or circumstance. RV RELEASES do not express any opinion on the future value of any security, currency, or other investment instruments. You should seek expert financial and other advice regarding the appropriateness of the material discussed or recommended in RV RELEASES and should note that investment values may fall, you may receive less back than originally invested and past performances are not necessarily reflective of future performances. Well, that was pretty intense! We hope you got all of that – now stop reading the small print and go and enjoy Real Vision.
Andy, now the CEO of Damped Spring and a veteran of both Solomon Brothers and Bridgewater Associates, says markets face significant headwinds because of quantitative tightening.
He joins Andreas Steno Larsen to talk about the main drivers of financial asset prices right now – contracting liquidity, risk premia, and positioning, among others – and to share his “Framework 101” for building portfolios and generating alpha. Recorded on November 16, 2022.
TIMESTAMPS:
1 What Is Your Perspective on Markets Right Now? 01:12
2 How Do You Factor in Risk Premiums and Inflation into Your Analysis? 08:51
3 What's Your Base Case on the Fed? 0:13:13
4 The Makings of a False Dawn 2.0 0:17:27
5 What Indicators Do You Use to Determine Positioning and Releveraging? 0:23:11
6 The Four Pillars That Drive Major Macro Assets 0:26:24
7 What's Your Assessment of the Current Environment Based on These Four Pillars? 0:40:37
8 The Takeaways 0:45:57
Thanks for watching Real Vision Finance!
#macro #inflation2022 #inflation
About Real Vision™:
Real Vision™ is where you can gain an understanding of the complex world of finance, business, and the global economy with real in-depth analysis from real experts.
Connect with Real Vision™ Online:
#Macro #finance #macroeconomy #markets #financialmarkets #bonds #stocks #oil #gas #commodities #equities #gold
Disclaimer:
This is pretty obvious, but we should probably say it anyway so there is no confusion…The material in REAL VISION GROUP video programs and publications {collectively referred to as “RV RELEASES”} is provided for informational purposes only and is NOT investment advice. The information in RV RELEASES has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but Real Vision and its contributors, distributors and/or publisher, licensors, and their respective employees, contractors, agents, suppliers, and vendors { collectively, “Affiliated Parties”} make no representation or warranty as to the accuracy, timeliness or completeness of the content in RV RELEASES. Any data included in RV RELEASES are illustrative only and not for investment purposes. Any opinion or recommendation expressed in RV RELEASES is subject to change without notice. RV Releases do not recommend, explicitly nor implicitly, nor suggest or recommend any investment strategy. Real Vision Group and its Affiliated Parties disclaim all liability for any loss that may arise (whether direct indirect, consequential, incidental, punitive, or otherwise) from any use of the information in RV RELEASES. Real Vision Group and its Affiliated Parties do not have regard for any individual, group of individuals, or entity’s specific investment objectives, financial situation, or circumstance. RV RELEASES do not express any opinion on the future value of any security, currency, or other investment instruments. You should seek expert financial and other advice regarding the appropriateness of the material discussed or recommended in RV RELEASES and should note that investment values may fall, you may receive less back than originally invested and past performances are not necessarily reflective of future performances. Well, that was pretty intense! We hope you got all of that – now stop reading the small print and go and enjoy Real Vision.
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