Understanding Drop Rates & Loot in The First Descendant: Probability Explained with Examples

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*Welcome to RealAsianRobot's channel! In this video, we dive deep into the world of drop rates and loot in The First Descendant.* 🛡️🎲

🔍 *Video Overview:*
RealAsianRobot, an official content creator for Nexon and The First Descendant, breaks down the math behind loot drops and explains the probability of getting those coveted items. Using a dice roll model, he demonstrates how each mission or activity essentially gives players a chance to "roll" for loot.

🎲 *What You'll Learn:*
🔹Understanding Drop Rates: Learn how drop rates work with a simple mathematical model.
🔹Probability in Action: Watch as RealAsianRobot shows examples of loot drop probability with 20% and 10% drop rates.
🔹Varied Loot Experiences: See how different players can have vastly different outcomes, even with the same drop rate.

💡 *Key Takeaways:*
🔸A clear explanation of how probability affects loot drops in The First Descendant.
🔸Insights into why some players might seem luckier than others.
🔸Tips to maintain a positive mindset when farming for loot.

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📢 Share this video with fellow Descendant players to help them optimize their builds!

Timestamps:
00:00 - Introduction to the Vid
02:05 - How Drop Percentages Work
03:00 - An Example of Getting Drops
05:10 - Excel Model for Drop Rates
06:30 - Test of a 20% Drop Rate
08:30 - Test of a 10% Drop Rate
11:25 - Thanks for Watching & Supporter Shout-Out

📺 *Related Videos:*

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[dredgen]

I don’t care how people say drop rates actually work; you cannot convince me that the game doesn’t know exactly what I want to drop, and then proceeds to not give it to me for days on end.

[thegreath]

Appreciate it brother, love this video. Not other content creators being this creative. Your becoming my fav tfd creator.

[rayblitz]

Feel that you are not getting the one think you want?
Its called Dynamic RNG based on player activity.
They have done it in maple story
They likely are doing it now

[lonewolf]

Really good explanation. Was going for Blair parts, one of them took me 20+ runs, other parts only 3 or 4 runs.

[automatas]

Been grinding the same spot for 48 hours and still haven’t got my one drop

[astarw]

Thanks Robot! As someone who’s getting ready to beat the game this is going to help me down the road with farming for characters and mods for endgame builds!

[FullchanAnon]

It took me 5 days to get the last 10% Enduring Legacy blueprint.

It took me 1 day to get all FOUR 6% Ultimate Gley parts.

RNG is going to RNG.

[michaelklein]

There's a nice way to show this example in a really cool model they teach kids with

[yuukishorts]

coming from a lot of gacha i use this same system where in instead of 10 i grind 20 amorphius materials before opening because it brings me that feeling of pulling 100x on every gacha game that i play and i feel like my odds are higher opening 20 but ya it really doesnt work everytime but that is my sweet spot and i dont feel bad because getting catalyst is more than enough and i dont expect the blueprint much rather i more or less hope i get a few catalyst whilst praying i get the blueprint at the same time.

TLDR playing gbf helped me cope on the grind because the amount of times i had to redo a single raid for a single weapon drop is far worse then the grind on this game

[cjcummings]

Regular cash shop buyers appear to be getting better RNG/Drop rates compared to non buyers. Pure speculation but we think there is a flag or some type of modifer that cash shop buyers get for a certain duration after a purchase.

[kennymenorias]

To sum it up, if your luck sucks, then you won't get lucky no matter the probability is. Law of average, it will even out after some time. :)

[The_daft_son]

I was able to farm ult valby on the morning of release in about 2.5 hours. Luna on the other hand I still haven’t completed. 2 pieces finally dropped for Luna yesterday

[HazNation]

I still think they are so frustrating, I’ve spent almost 20 tries trying to get the Sharon piece and in that time I also got four transcendent mod drops which have a 1.5% chance. Bullshit. How. FOUR. I’ve been playing MMO‘s all of my life and 20% in this game feels horrible compared to 20% in a game where I have to enhance my gear with a 80% fail rate

[frysilog]

So that's how they work. Thank you for explaining!

May the dice roll in my favour. - Gale from BG3

[NachtEulex]

Omg, more people need to see this!!!! 😭 this is what I've been trying to explain, but they just dont get it 😭 they get mad because they dont understand the mathmatics behind it all
Youre the man! Thank you for putting this out there. Hopefully, within time, more people will see this and understand instead of jumping immediately.

Keep it up!!!

[adi_sheeeesh]

One think that has proven over countless times for me to work is whenever I don’t get what I want within two or three try’s. I hold start and leave the game load back up and usually get it within two or three more try’s. Works flawlessly. Another thing is when you’re grinding for anamorphous materials at the vulgus strategic outposts. (Only works if others are there) let them do the bunch of the work until the last ish second so you can get a few shots on the boss and almost every time I’ve gotten the material from that. Weird but it works so good. Waaay higher chance than regular degular. Give it a shot!

[deathdawning]

Brilliant video this was well needed for players that aren't math nerds lol. No but honestly i hope this clears up some of the misinformation spreading about the drop rates❤

[dmwells]

I know the struggle is real. I was/ have been farming the blue beetle blue print for 3 days at 15 runs a day. My buddie runs it oance on the dead bride and gets right off the rip. I was so disappointed. Told him to keep that info to himself.

[ZenZenDesu]

I'm bad at math especially statistics and probability but man this really helped. Amazing vid as always 🔥

[RAYZOR-Xx]

The thing with probability is that when each item in an amorphous material have a set chance to drop, there should be instances where none of the items roll a 1 and you get nothing. But there's is a factor that is taken into account in this game that guarantees that you get one of the item.