Sports Betting Explained: How to Make an NFL Model and Beat Vegas

In this video we will work through how to make a model using power ratings to price NFL spread to beat Vegas!

If you want more sports betting strategies and education, be sure to subscribe!
Access the free model page here and follow along throughout the video:

We are going to use free info from:

Any questions, please let us know

As always, good luck!

[abomb]

Fantastic video. UI might take some getting used to, but this is an exciting tool to not only learn analytics but also to play around and understand your risk tolerances before even hitting close. Great work guys

[WorkingFromHomeToday]

"Injury to Russel Wilson, uncertainty at QB" aged EXTREMELY well!

[sethwilliamanderson]

this is so helpful! make one for college, please?!

[scubaseball]

Great vid. Could you explain how to price totals too?

[rowdawg]

Thanks for this video! How are you getting the spread value for BTB? Is that something that is publicly available like it is for the other 3 models?

[MrCoreyTexas]

Want to watch this video, but from everything I know, NFL point spreads are basically the hardest thing to actually beat! I think College Football is easier to beat in this regard because with so many teams it's harder for the books to set accurate lines. Just think the books are hiring many traders to set the NFL lines. Best of luck though!

[michaelaparicio]

where does the btb analytics get their numbers from, which collum does it take it from ???

[morganlindsey]

can i ask where you came up with or which site you got the value framework stuff?? i like to use kelly criterion so it helps to know the percentages for bet sizing and i was curious is there a site you can scrape this information and do they have this data for other sports like college football?? thanks man love the videos you got a sub!!

[Conor-cjrh]

You said the circa sports Nevada app should work for lines right. Also how could I see a college version of this. Great video btw🔥

[MrCoreyTexas]

I don't see how people are betting week 1 4 months in advance, sometimes things like who the starting quarterback will be isn't confirmed until a few weeks before the game starts! They are probably very rich and very bold!