Will The Stock Market Crash in 2024?

The exact timing and degree of stock market crashes is impossible to predict, but these 6 charts are actually incredibly good at warning us of how close we are to one. They’re the signals that Ray Dalio uses to navigate the market, the man who built the biggest hedge fund in the world.

And in a new linkedin memo, he just shared what these indicators look like today, not just for the broader US stock market, but also specifically the magnificent 7 stocks.

TIMESTAMPS
THE GREAT DEPRESSION 0:00
SENTIMENT 1:29
NEW BUYERS 5:39
DISCOUNTING 7:36
LEVERAGE 9:37
FORWARD PURCHASES 10:41
PRICING 12:33

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Disclaimer:
The information in this video is general information only and should not be taken as constituting professional advice from Hamish Hodder.
Hamish Hodder is not a financial adviser. You should consider seeking independent legal, financial, taxation or other advice to check how the information relates to your unique circumstances.
Hamish Hodder is not liable for any loss caused, whether due to negligence or otherwise arising from the use of, or reliance on, the information provided directly or indirectly, by use of this video.

[DavidCovington-stid]

In spite of how everyone is frightened and calling the crash, there is already an excessive amount of demand waiting to absorb it, which is another reason it's less likely to happen that way. This forecast was not made in 2008, at least not by the general public, as I will explain below. The ownership rate peaked in 2004, according to the other comment. We reached a peak in the second quarter of 2020 and are currently at the median level. From 2008 to 2012, it fell by 3%, and in the second quarter of 2020, it dropped from 68 to 65. how can a young man with 200K survive?

[henrymitchell]

Crashes and bubbles are persistent features of financial markets and are exacerbated by narratives. The narrative is always different but something’s don’t tend to change, most notably, returns after crashes are more often positive than negative and new paradigm bubbles tend to have disappointing returns.

[sommersalt]

What I don’t understand is, on one hand we are told the stock market will crash and yet on the other we are told ways of investing in the stock market. Oxymoron or paradox? I'm considering investing over $300k, but I'm uncertain about risk mitigation strategies.

[wemustbecomemachines]

omg 21 crash!! omg 22 crash!! omg 23 crash!! omg 24 crash!!! rinse/repeat

[robertprice]

Your channel is getting better and better Hamish, another really interesting video👍👍

[pieterv]

Thank you for again a good explanation video.
For me the value of your video´s went up with your channel´s recent evolutions

[fdadrtrttewrt]

Another fantastic video. Keep making them and I will keep watching and spreading the word.

[aravind]

Very informative video. Thanks @Hamish

[aaronmorris-gt]

Hit 200k today. Thank you for all the knowledge and nuggets you had thrown my way over the last months. Started with 17k in last month 2024 Investing with Juliana Heidi

[dthxinb]

Hi Hamish, where do you get access to these charts + data? I would love to keep track of these metrics, cheers!

[jawadarif]

We still waiting for the 2023 crash and recession

[kitnoCC]

One of your best videos! Thanks, man.

[CyChong-vmuf]

So the key takeaways is Dalio uses 6 indicators, and all are useless. It tell you there will be a bubble but not when. Don’t think anyone sane needs an indicator to know that

[wesleysanders]

really great. Informative and interesting, more of youtube should be like this lol

[Kproductions]

Hamish, will u ever do a update on asos? It's like super low and you said you invested in it. Would love how you think about it and what you did after this time.

[valdeklaur]

would ML algorithms be able to assess the last bit, pricing, and thus be able to correctly predict a bubble? do you know of any such startups/initiatives?
Or have I undestood the matter in a too simplistic way? Just trying to put 2 and 2 together, as ML is strong with big data, patterns and predictions.

[cyberryderfx]

All nice, all right, all heard 1mio times. But what to DO now?

[doublecrunch]

Your content just keeps getting better and better! Thanks Hamish for the hard work you put into making these videos.

[jonokruger]

Does anyone know the ray dalio bubble video he was referring to?

[JeroenHerbrink-lmmq]

Very interesting video my friend! Maybe you can revisit this in like 3-6 months from now?