How The Russia-Ukraine War Will End

Analysis Episode #14 - Russia/Ukraine

[highlanderwins]

Just would like to mention that, if you *_were_* to do a long-form video on this topic that included the internal politics of the involved parties, I don't think anyone would complain.

[LancesArmorStriking]

Small correction at 3:49, the Orange Revolution was Ukraine's first pro-Western political shift in 2004.
The Maidan Revolution happened in 2014.

[cdw]

a quick note: the orange revolution occurred in the 2000s, Maidan was in 2014

[brandonstanley]

There was never an amphibious landing in Odessa.

[truthfulpenguin]

When this war started, I heard a lot of saying that "America will fight until the last Ukrainian." As much as I dislike the country's internal situation, it's not lost on me how harrowing the situation on the ground in Ukraine has become. Young men being slaughtered left and right without a choice, dying before getting to even really live their lives. There will be no future for Ukraine under the West's guidance that has led it to this point.

[KekusMagnus]

Orange revolution was 2004, 2014 was its sequel.
There never was a landing in Odessa, it was abandoned after the land advance was halted at Nikolaev.

[RyanEglitis]

Wild how you act like Bakhmut was a huge recent Ukranian loss, when it happened over a year ago now. It also was performed at a huge loss on Russia's side, with them losing 4x more troops than Ukraine to take the city. And then you skip over the entire Kharkiv and Kherson counteroffensives, where Ukraine pushed Russia out of huge swaths of land just prior to Bakhmut. If you wanted to pretend to be just reporting recent advances, you should have stuck to Avdivka and the border incursions near Vovchansk.

This skips over the recent developments of the US and Germany allowing their weapons to be used (limitedly) on Russian soil, which has lead to the _actual_ recent advances near the Russian border to start being pushed back. This was even argued for by both sides in the US, noting that the aid bill didn't specify any limitations on the weapons.

And as to why western support suddenly dropped, the US piece of it was actually because of Trump taking a pro-Russia stance, holding up aid bills with his MAGA compatriots in the House. Biden held strong against giving aid to Israel without aid to Ukraine, so both tranches of aid sat in limbo for over 6 months. As soon as Trump stopped blocking it (something that he finally figured out was a losing political play), the bill passed nearly instantly. You also skipped over over $1 billion in existing artillery shells being procured by a Chech-led initiative, which is due to start arriving this month.

France has also been talking about sending troops to Ukraine mainly as a training or support role, not to fight against Russia directly. Macron did broach the subject of sending them to fight, but that was mostly seen as a diplomatic move to set up further escalations if(when) this war continues.

And none of that even gets into the Russian propaganda that is the "oh, NATO did an eXpAnSiOn" lie.

[Camote_Economics]

11:16 I didn't know yugopnik was fighting in Ukraine

[VenetoBall]

Maidan wasnt about NATO, it was about EU, Ukraine was a neutral state. "NATO promissed not expand" not only it never happened, but Russia gave green light to Poland entry in NATO.

[NewEnglandWilly]

This is terribly sad when you consider all the lives lost

[vasilzahariev]

Russia did not perform amphibious landings in Odessa.

[geertpaelinck]

Your map of NATO excludes one of the founding members: Belgium :)

[bismarckfamily]

could you please start again those weekly newsreels that asserted the most important things that happened that week? I personally think that for this in-depth analysis you should use second thought...

[The-Devils-Advocate]

“Yo, the sources section in the description seems to be empty” -me, when the sources section seemed to be empty

[fullcirclehistory]

There was no signed treaty or agreement that NATO wouldn’t expand.

There WAS a signed agreement in 1994 called the Budapest Memorandum where Russia agreed to never try to forcibly change Ukraine’s borders

[raiogelato]

The virgin: "i wont try to pronounce this" and *pronounces everything incorrectly without effort to know how to*
Vs
Chad JT approach: Use international friends to teach you

[hanniballecter]

For god's sake, you fucked up in the first minute of the video, 0:53, there was no landing in (near) Odesa or even in Mariupol (the city was encircled on land, on the sea there were only some minor skirmishes between small vessels, no D-day cosplays, even tiny). I dunno how someone with such limited knowledge of the topic may have the boldness to make predictions about how the war would end.

[IvanIsturiz]

As a funny comment on the history portrait: I think you forgot that Crimea was a part of Ukraine until days before Yanukovich fled from the country. Just to make updates on the map, as if 2014 little green men and Girkin did nothing in the field

[autism-is-unstoppable]

250 million for air defense systems? Yeah right the pentagon charges 100, 000 million for paint alone

[Thissa-XD]

Nice video, but in my opinion, the video lacks some nuance because you focus too much on the negative points about Ukraine.

Yes, Ukraine is losing ground, but it is giving it up at a high cost. Russia is losing many tanks and IFVs, and many soldiers are dying for minimal gaines. Since this doesn't look sustainable, you can question who the real winner here is. The Ukrainian armed forces do not employ these meatwave tactics; instead, they preserve their soldiers by conducting tactical retreats.

Additionally, you do not mention the aid package of $63 billion from the USA, the arrival of the F-16s, Ukraine's successes in the Black Sea (more than a third of the Russian fleet has been sunk), shooting down expensive Russian military planes, and is constantly improving its army by in innovation in drones and army tactics.

Meanwhile, Russia's losses have risen to over half a million soldiers (not independently confirmed), the economy is running on a war economy (a major disadvantage), it has to sell its oil and gas at high discounts, several oil refineries are being destroyed daily, and the country is becoming isolated from the world economy.

So once again, the nuance is missing and the outcome of the war is far from certain.