Is the Fed still on track for a 2024 cut? | MarketTalk: What’s up today? | Swissquote

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Mood among investors is not cheery into the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) latest monetary policy decision due later today. And it’s understandable. The Fed must respond to three straight month jump in inflation and probably take a step back in its plans to cut the interest rates this year.

If the first few months of the year ended in tears for the Fed doves, the AI-related stocks lived up to very high expectations in the Q1. All the Maginficent 7 stocks that reported earnings so far – except from Tesla – surpassed high market expectations. Amazon posted the best beat among them, but the stock price rose less than 2% in the afterhours trading as a weak sales forecast for the current quarter tempered optimism regarding the Q1 results.

Elsewhere, Eurozone grew at the fastest pace in 18 months and exited recession in the Q1. But the EURUSD slipped to 1.0650 on broadly stronger USD, and risks are tilted to the downside at today’s FOMC announcement.
In energy, US crude cleared the 50-DMA and slipped below the $82pb level after the latest AI report posted an almost 5-mio-barrel build in US oil inventories last week and copper futures fell sharply as Fed hawk threaten the reflation trade.

Watch the full episode to find out more!

0:00 Intro
0:44 Is the Fed still on track for a 2024 cut?
3:23 Amazon backs AI optimism, but…
7:06 Eurozone exist recession
8:16 Oil and copper decline

Ipek Ozkardeskaya has begun her financial career in 2010 in the structured products desk of the Swiss Banque Cantonale Vaudoise. She worked at HSBC Private Bank in Geneva in relation to high and ultra-high net worth clients. In 2012, she started as FX Strategist at Swissquote Bank. She worked as a Senior Market Analyst in London Capital Group in London and in Shanghai. She returned to Swissquote Bank as Senior Analyst in 2020.

#Fed #FOMC #decision #AMAZON #AMD #earnings #season #USD #EUR #crude #oil #copper
#SPX #Dow #Nasdaq #investing #trading #equities #stocks #cryptocurrencies #FX #bonds #markets #news
#Swissquote #MarketTalk #marketanalysis #marketcommentary

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You re hard working eventuell on Labour day. Thx a lot

roddscherw
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Happily surprised to see Ipek on May Day !

cris
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Hi Ipek,
I have mentioned this before but it is looking like these rates will be here for a looong time as they were in the 90"s (I think)
Is there an adjusted all time average rate figure? (say since the second world war)

johnnycomelately
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And together with AMD, SMCI had a bad earnings, not good for the chip sector either. I guess Powell never committed to more than 3 rate cuts but I hope someone asks him, why were you even talking about rate cuts for the last 6 months? Oil is looking really bad, can't believe after the eclipse I could have really lightened up on my positions. I saw the peaks but I didn't take action, so here we are.

samthedoor