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Trump versus Harris: Who will win the US 2024 presidential election?
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Who will likely win on Tuesday 5 November 2024?
Since then, they have tweaked the model, which uses macroeconomic data and incumbency, as well as the charisma difference of the two candidates; this updated model uses data from 1916 to predict the electoral college outcome. Over the last 27 elections, the model calls the winner correctly 25 times (92.59% accuracy). See this video to understand how the model works and who will likely win the 2024 U.S. presidential eletion.
Since then, they have tweaked the model, which uses macroeconomic data and incumbency, as well as the charisma difference of the two candidates; this updated model uses data from 1916 to predict the electoral college outcome. Over the last 27 elections, the model calls the winner correctly 25 times (92.59% accuracy). See this video to understand how the model works and who will likely win the 2024 U.S. presidential eletion.
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