UNITED STATES | A Diplomatic Turning Point?

The 2024 U.S. presidential election will have far-reaching global implications, impacting critical issues such as Middle Eastern conflicts, the Ukraine war, China relations, and climate change policy. While American voters largely focus on domestic issues, the world watches closely, as both Kamala Harris and Donald Trump offer contrasting approaches to foreign policy. Harris is likely to continue the Biden administration’s support for allies and multilateral cooperation, potentially increasing aid to Ukraine and reinforcing NATO ties. In contrast, Trump’s approach may be more isolationist, favoring direct support for Israel and possibly scaling back on NATO commitments, which has concerned European allies.

On key issues like China, the candidates may both maintain a tough stance, but Trump’s proposed tariffs could escalate trade tensions, and his position on climate change suggests a rollback of current policies. Additionally, the handling of Iran and Middle Eastern conflicts diverges; Trump could give Israel broader latitude, while Harris may push for diplomatic resolutions. The election outcome will set the tone for U.S. global engagement over the next four years, influencing military actions, trade dynamics, and alliances worldwide. As such, this election will not only shape America's future but could redefine the international landscape for years to come.

*MY LATEST BOOK!*
Secession and State Creation: What Everyone Needs to Know

*SUPPORT THE CHANNEL*
Hello and welcome! My name is James Ker-Lindsay, and here I take an informed look at International Relations, conflict, security, and statehood. If you like what you see, please subscribe. Even better, perhaps consider becoming a Channel Member. Thank you!

SUBSCRIBE FOR FREE
BECOME A CHANNEL MEMBER

*VIDEO CHAPTERS*
00:00 Introduction and Titles
00:51 US Presidential Elections and International Relations
01:44 Trump vs Harris: The Middle East
04:08 Trump vs Harris: The Ukraine War
05:28 Trump vs Harris: Relations with China
06:33 Trump vs Harris: Relations with NATO and Europe
07:51 Trump vs Harris: Climate Change
08:37 Trimp vs Harris : Past Records
10:47 Trump vs Harris: Climate Change

*EQUIPMENT USED TO MAKE THIS VIDEO*

*DISCLAIMER*
The contents of this video and any views expressed in it were not reviewed in advance nor determined by any outside persons or organisation.

#Harris #Trump #USElection

[JamesKerLindsay]

Well, there was really only one topic I could cover this week: the US presidential elections. So, who do you think will win? And, more to the point, how do you think this will affect US foreign policy? Where will be the big changes? If you’re outside the US, what do you think the result will mean for your country or region? As always, let me know in the comments below.

[jimjohnston]

Always a pleasure watching your videos. Well thought out and informative

[Richard-iqxb]

If the US pulls the rug from under Ukraine the age of American dominance will end as no ally would ever again be able to trust it.

And like many empires before it American influence depends on having other countries in its sphere.

[ariefferdaus]

Hi James! Hope you’re well and safe!

I’m now working in a state agency focusing on investment facilitation and promotion. We’re responsible for helping MNCs to establish their presence in our state and the current US Elections is something we keep an eye on.

Admittedly, Malaysia is a winner from the US-China Trade War as many companies chose to relocate to SEA, especially Malaysia, due to our industrial ecosystem neutrality. But nowadays, we try to be very strategic with deciding who to come in given Malaysia already got sanctioned for solar panels and the hit was real.

Ultimately, Malaysia has to continue tip-toe and navigate itself in whatever outcome from the elections. We are now aiming big for semiconductors and E&E, and we will continue to be resilient with whatever to come next.

Many thanks for the video, James! Keep up the good work (and nice thumbnail design)!

[Minininininininininininininick]

As a Swede, I believe a Trump presidency would mean Swedish politicians supporting strategic autonomy. Given that we've never been in NATO during a Trump administration.

[joem]

The US is too internally divided, it's foreign and trade policies too variable depending on who wins to lead the world.

Imagine in 4 years, the world waits anxiously again to find out who wins, and which way the US will swing. It's ridiculous.

[carlduplessis]

Maybe the Europeans will grow spines and take responsibility for their own defence and their own independent foreign policy . How is it that the EU that has a population of almost 300 million people more than Russia and combined GDP of almost nine times that of Russia needs the US to defend them from Russia . Most likely the EU leaders will go and kiss Trump’s ring while Oban is looking on gloatingly .. I have admired Europe for most of my life . How could European leaders not see this coming ?

[primal]

The United States needs to prioritize its own citizens and its own territory rather than focus on the entire world. It should not be our responsibility to be the World Police

[sebatolle]

if you have the time for it make a video about botswana please! love your videos

[yusuffulat]

Approaches to international trade is a big issue

[hrishikeshmasurkar]

Very well explained, thanks Dr. Ker-Lindsay!

[achmedaan]

Hi professor, I would like to point out that calling a Chinese conquest of Taiwan "retaking Taiwan" is not accurate since Taiwan has never been part of the PRC. Furthermore, Taiwan has only been part of a Chinese state ruled by Han Chinese that exceeds its current territorial boundaries for 4 years between 1945-1949. Taiwan was part of Japan for far longer than it was ever part of a unified Chinese state ruled by Han Chinese.

As Sulmaan Wasif Khan points out in his book "The Struggle for Taiwan: A History, " the concept of Taiwan needing to be part of a unified (communist) Chinese state under the CCP was only really developed in the early 50's by Mao because Chiang Kai-Shek would not give up his claim to Mainland China. Up until that point, CCP officials' opinions regarding claims on Taiwanese territories were malleable.

[ashenafimsgan]

As political science and international relations student i admired you! your videos are helpful to understand international phenomena.

[eloquentextrovert]

If European nations increased their NATO budget to 5% of GDP the problem will resolve overnight.

[retiredrn]

Well done. Thanks for pointing out that Trump set the table in Afghanistan. Kamala needs the House or certification will be trying. Wish US luck!

[philsidock]

Do prefer that readers buy your book from a specific website? I'm looking forward to purchasing it, but I know that some sites take a smaller portion of the sale...

[Marios-brhm]

Do you think that policy for Cyprus will improve and help to find a federation solution since lately biden has supported it? Even if trump wins?

[backstabba]

Trade tarrifs could be devastating to us in Europe after we regulated ourselves into near uncompetitivness. Probably good long temr bad short term.

[theanarkiddie]

Dear professor Lindsay, thanks as always for the video (haven't finished it yet but great so far, as ever). I have a question. I agree with your assessment that the Russia-Ukraine war is a "systemic war", one that has the potential to overturn international politics as we know it and create new international systems. But, to add to this, do you think Israel's war against Iran/Proxies should also be considered a potential systemic war? On the one hand, Israel is a US ally, and thus a part of the existing global order - rather than a challenge to it. On the other though, Israel's disregard for international institutions like the UN and ICJ does seem to threaten the very existence of those organisations. What do you think?

[markopinteric]

I would say that the diplomacy of more serious countries generally does not depend so much on election results, because the external interests of a country do not depend so much on domestic politics. The diplomacy of more serious countries primarily depends on civil servants and professional diplomats which employment span several administrations and which advise the elected politicians.

This is generally true of the US as well, and this is why so far there has not been much difference between Democrats and Republicans. But Trump is different. He will not take advice from anyone and takes diplomacy very personally, even to the extent of judging leaders of other countries exclusively on his personal feelings about them. So in the case of this particular election, that makes a big difference.