Warren Buffett Indicator Broken?

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In this video, I discuss the Buffett indicator in the context of the long-term debt cycle, and the US's precarious fiscal position.

If the Fed stops printing, the US will not be able to fund entitlement spending, military spending, or servicing the debt, which will lead to massive social unrest and a possible global financial crisis.

If the Fed keeps printing, the stock market will continue to move higher, destroying all previous indicators of overvaluation, like the Buffett indicator

Money is hiding in the US stock market, as a way of holding US dollars, while mitigating the USD's loss of purchasing power.

Holding Bitcoin is even better than holding stocks, since there is zero dilution risk.

Not investment advice! Consult a financial advisor.

Buffett Indicator:

Buffett says ignore the macro:

US debt to GDP:

Federal debt held by foreign investors:

Watch the Fed's balance sheet grow:

Total public debt:

US GDP:

Gold price in Weimar Marks:

US debt clock:

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#WarrenBuffett
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[Bitcoin_University]

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[lonniehardy]

If an investor buys a great piece of art, he doesn’t go get an appraisal every 10 minutes to see if he’s lost or made money - he holds the MonaLisa and becomes amazingly wealthy

[zacharymeiu]

Beautiful sunrise this morning here in Colorado and a new Trader U video. Already off to a good start!

[JoshFlorii]

You're helping open my eyes. Why is this not the first thing taught in schools? Frustrating.

[boogyjuggy]

Canada in the house...well done as usual....glad i subscribed.

[dinopanteloukas]

Good morning Matthew. Good morning everyone. 🌞🌞. Hold strong 💪

[ryed]

So thankful i found this channel. So i can better protect myself and my family.

[heathers.]

I needed this nugget of reassurance this morning. Buying a few sats here and there as the dips reveal themselves. Thank you!

[theericsu]

I prefer this type of content about macro economics over minor bitcoin price movements or technical analysis

[labandonaldhock]

This is the one place you get the facts, and in no uncertain terms. Thankyou for your efforts!!

[danwilhelm]

Matthew thanks for your analytical work, and willingness to share. Our emotions are our worst enemy when investing. You must be a very successful investor based on the degree of patience you have with some of the naive outspoken commenters. They need to look up the Dunn-Kruger effect.

[gus]

Lol love the it’s fine gif! Fantastic content as always!!! Thank you!!!

[DaniAlbert]

I shared your channel on Facebook the post was deleted and i received a warning for violating fb rules 🤔

[ballshippin]

I hope the price drops. I nearly have enough sats to be considered in the 1% club 💪

[tuckerdelehey]

Love your content, Matthew! Keep up the great work!

[blottolotto]

very interesting about the volatility of gold during the hyperinflation of Weimar's currency

[timloughnan]

This is brilliant content. Clear and logical. Thanks! … and I like the quip
“… not suggesting smoking”! LOL

[benjamindover]

I predict that a stable coin will be introduced by the US gov within the next 6 months, rolled out on a testing basis. Over the next 3 years several economic shocks will help maneuver that test into a UBI payment distribution system. Over the next 2 decades the dollar will be reduced in value untill wealth disparity evaporates, eventually making dollars irrelevant and the states digital currency being the basis of a new socio-economic order.

[asherasky]

The problem is the state and government pension programs

[fionamcleod]

It’s all coming together. Great learning video 👍 🙏