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🔴 Why The Price of Gold Keeps Going Up (w/ AK)

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So what’s behind the gold run, and is there still a case for buying in at these levels? AK walks viewers through some of the ways that Real Vision’s guests are making sense of the yellow metal now.
About The One Thing:
AK brings a fresh spin to the world of finance. Often pulling from Real Vision content, each week, he dishes on what recent event or insight rises to the level of being "the one thing" that matters.
About Real Vision™:
Real Vision™ is the destination for the world’s most successful investors to share their thoughts about what’s happening in today's markets. Think: TED Talks for Finance. On Real Vision™ you get exclusive access to watch the most successful investors, hedge fund managers and traders who share their frank and in-depth investment insights with no agenda, hype or bias. Make smart investment decisions and grow your portfolio with original content brought to you by the biggest names in finance, who get to say what they really think on Real Vision™.
Connect with Real Vision™ Online:
Why Are Investors So Suddenly Crazy about Gold? (w/AK)
Transcript:
AK: If you want to get an argument with someone, just tell them what you think about gold. For some reason, gold inspires a passion that's usually reserved for debates about socialism. So today, let's have some fun and talk about gold. So far, it's up 16% in the last year, putting the stock market's performance to shame. But why are prices rising? And how much farther is it going to go? Well, that's what we're going to talk about on this week's episode of Real Vision's The One Thing. What's going on, investors? AK here. We've heard a lot about gold on Real Vision lately, and some of that coverage was because of our recent Recession Watch Special. Because, of course, when people talk about recessions or financial crises, they're going to bring up gold. Dan Tapiero of Gold Bullion International explained why that is.
DAN TAPIERO: My only point is that gold, it's a hedge in the traditional system, for the traditional system. Stocks, and most people who are long stocks and bonds, gold is a good hedge.
AK: It's that simple. When the stocks and bonds go down, people expect gold to rise or at least maintain its value. Luke Gromen explains that phenomenon.
LUKE GROMEN: But I think gold is really useless for about 99% of the long economic cycle. And then in the 1% of the economic cycle, the long economic cycle, which tends to correlate or coincide with sovereign debt bubbles globally, it's critical to own.
AK: Luke isn't alone in that line of thinking either. Here's what Raoul Pal said about gold in his piece kicking off recession watch.
RAOUL PAL: Gold is an option on the end game. So, if we are going to go to extreme monetary policy, which looks like I've walked you through a set of pretty easy probabilities that that could happen in the next 18 months, well then gold has to go higher. Now, sure, if the dollar goes higher, gold's going to come back a bit, but over time, I think the dollar and gold go higher, and gold goes a lot higher over the longer run. And it's now acting as that probability on this end game.
AK: Now, when you're talking about a strengthening dollar, you're talking about a dollar that's gaining value against other currencies. But gold can gain value even faster. In that scenario, gold can keep rising even as the dollar rises too. Greg Weldon discussed a dynamic around the world where countries are trying to create inflation and growth by devaluing their currencies. And as he explains, that could be a dream scenario for gold.
GREG WELDON: Would it make sense that gold is appreciating at all paper currencies, because essentially, what you really have going on here, at the end of the day, the most base case, at the instinctive level is a growing uncertainty, fear and even mistrust around all paper. They're just going to keep printing more and more paper every time there's an issue around disinflation, deflation. Well, at some point, there is a level of uncertainty and anxiety around all that paper. And it is IOUs. Currencies, sovereign debt, it's all the same, it's an IOU. And it's kind of cliche, but it is powerful. And it's true, the dynamic around gold being an offset to all of this paper that they just keep printing.
About The One Thing:
AK brings a fresh spin to the world of finance. Often pulling from Real Vision content, each week, he dishes on what recent event or insight rises to the level of being "the one thing" that matters.
About Real Vision™:
Real Vision™ is the destination for the world’s most successful investors to share their thoughts about what’s happening in today's markets. Think: TED Talks for Finance. On Real Vision™ you get exclusive access to watch the most successful investors, hedge fund managers and traders who share their frank and in-depth investment insights with no agenda, hype or bias. Make smart investment decisions and grow your portfolio with original content brought to you by the biggest names in finance, who get to say what they really think on Real Vision™.
Connect with Real Vision™ Online:
Why Are Investors So Suddenly Crazy about Gold? (w/AK)
Transcript:
AK: If you want to get an argument with someone, just tell them what you think about gold. For some reason, gold inspires a passion that's usually reserved for debates about socialism. So today, let's have some fun and talk about gold. So far, it's up 16% in the last year, putting the stock market's performance to shame. But why are prices rising? And how much farther is it going to go? Well, that's what we're going to talk about on this week's episode of Real Vision's The One Thing. What's going on, investors? AK here. We've heard a lot about gold on Real Vision lately, and some of that coverage was because of our recent Recession Watch Special. Because, of course, when people talk about recessions or financial crises, they're going to bring up gold. Dan Tapiero of Gold Bullion International explained why that is.
DAN TAPIERO: My only point is that gold, it's a hedge in the traditional system, for the traditional system. Stocks, and most people who are long stocks and bonds, gold is a good hedge.
AK: It's that simple. When the stocks and bonds go down, people expect gold to rise or at least maintain its value. Luke Gromen explains that phenomenon.
LUKE GROMEN: But I think gold is really useless for about 99% of the long economic cycle. And then in the 1% of the economic cycle, the long economic cycle, which tends to correlate or coincide with sovereign debt bubbles globally, it's critical to own.
AK: Luke isn't alone in that line of thinking either. Here's what Raoul Pal said about gold in his piece kicking off recession watch.
RAOUL PAL: Gold is an option on the end game. So, if we are going to go to extreme monetary policy, which looks like I've walked you through a set of pretty easy probabilities that that could happen in the next 18 months, well then gold has to go higher. Now, sure, if the dollar goes higher, gold's going to come back a bit, but over time, I think the dollar and gold go higher, and gold goes a lot higher over the longer run. And it's now acting as that probability on this end game.
AK: Now, when you're talking about a strengthening dollar, you're talking about a dollar that's gaining value against other currencies. But gold can gain value even faster. In that scenario, gold can keep rising even as the dollar rises too. Greg Weldon discussed a dynamic around the world where countries are trying to create inflation and growth by devaluing their currencies. And as he explains, that could be a dream scenario for gold.
GREG WELDON: Would it make sense that gold is appreciating at all paper currencies, because essentially, what you really have going on here, at the end of the day, the most base case, at the instinctive level is a growing uncertainty, fear and even mistrust around all paper. They're just going to keep printing more and more paper every time there's an issue around disinflation, deflation. Well, at some point, there is a level of uncertainty and anxiety around all that paper. And it is IOUs. Currencies, sovereign debt, it's all the same, it's an IOU. And it's kind of cliche, but it is powerful. And it's true, the dynamic around gold being an offset to all of this paper that they just keep printing.
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