Unraveling Tragedy: Exploring Likely Causes of Voepass 2283 ATR 72 Flat Spin Crash in Brazil

Michael 'Rocket ' Blackstone, a 40 year aerobatic instructor pilot and 26 year airline pilot with both turbo-prop (Saab 340) and turbo-jet experience (B737,B757, B767, B-777) describes what he believes to be the most likely causes of the tragic loss of another transport category aircraft called an ATR-72, Registration PS-VPB, operated by VoePass Linas Aereas on August 9, 2024 at approximately 1322L in known Severe Icing Conditions, that killed all 61 people aboard the aircraft. The accident aircraft, which was flying at 17,000' apparently encountered an area of SEVERE ICING, which caused the plane to slow down, gain weight, and degrade its performance such that it aerodynamically stalled, a stick pusher event occurred, a subsequent abrupt pull up, into secondary stall, then entered into a left spin, and finally developed into a left flat spin resulting in the aircraft impacting the ground some 40 miles NW or Sao Paulo, Brazil. This is the 66th fatal accident involving the ATR-72, the 40th hull loss, and increasing the total number of lives lost to 532 people.

@blancolirio Excellent Channel for Aviation (and other cool stuff)
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@FlywithMagnar ATR Captain and Instructor

[geraldo]

Thank you for a very respectfull videoon the latest air tragedy in my country. I am a Brazilian 737 pilot and i flew in that area couple of hours later coming from Argentina. There was a severe icing advisory in effect and when we descended below fl200 we got that ice formation on our windshield and wings. I appraciate your sharing of knowledge and the big respect you have for the victims and those brave Brazilian aviators whom im sure fought to the end. You got a new sub.

[OrsonCallanKrennic]

This is by far the best video regarding this tragedy. You explained everything with such detail that it would take a great amount of effort not to understand what likely transpired. Best regards from Brazil.

[leokimvideo]

This crash has all the hallmarks of the autopilot being on when it should have been off. So many aircraft icing crashes are related to the autopilot adding to the confusion in the cockpit. This aircraft had layers of protection to avoid this crash yet sometimes and too often it's the automated systems that just make things worse.

[ROH]

This video only has 15K views??? Not sure how I got here but if this gentleman taught people to fly, they are probably good pilots! Amazing! RIP to all lost. 🇧🇷

[flashpuppy]

Greetings from Ballarat, Australia.
I was once an aerobatic instructor and Instrument instructor too. I concur with all of what you have covered. My thoughts were servere icing followed by the tailplane maybe stalling first causing the pitch down event. The crew have then pulled full up to recover from the dive and ending up in the stall of the wing. The propeller torque, P-factor and gyroscopic precession effect contributing to putting it into a spin followed by it flatting out due to the power being left on. Interested in your thoughts.

Very sad event! Condolences to the families and support for the first responders.

[luismendes]

As a brazilian looking at this tragedy we are desperate for a explanation of how could a plane fall out of the sky like that. We dont see anything like that even in the movies. And because of you i could undstand a little about it. thank you for this excelent explanation. it helps us not to judge anything before the right time.

[barbaras]

You explained it very well for me - I don't know much about aviation but am fascinated by this crash. You made me understand it a lot more. I can tell how passionate and knowledgeable you are about flying. Thank you.

[christopherkane]

Thank you for sharing your experience as to WTH happened with this incredibly sad aviation tragedy.
The sadness from this accident was overwhelming to me the first time I saw the video. I wanted answers like we all do & your wealth of knowledge & integrity to those affected helps us process & avoid these situations in the future.

[saleen]

I'm not a pilot, but love aviation. You're explanation is excellent and very informative for anyone interested in aviation. This whole scenario reminds me so much of American Eagle Flight 4184 with the exception of the flat spin.

[MrMarko]

1470 subscribers?!. I feel lucky to be here so early, this channel WILL be big.

[parkeranderson]

How am i just now learning of your channel? Great knowledge and communication of these ideas, looking forward to deep diving all your content now. Condolences and prayers to the families and those souls on board.

[jacbrito]

Around 20 doctors were in that airplane, many cancer doctors, they were going to a convention in SP. Also, a family of Venezuelans was going to SP along with their dog to take another plane to Venezuela, and they all died. Many sad stories about this crash. May they all rest in peace.

[lawrencehansen]

Hey Mike! I knew and worked with your dad, and I retired 5 years ago out of your same base. Good vid and explanation! You and Juan Browne keep upmthe good work!

[willianjohnam]

This is the best explanation I've seen so far!

[billythekid]

Mike, first time to see your channel and after watching your video I had to suscribe. Your analysis of what might have happened was spot on. And so very respectful towards the family and friends of the victims. I started my flying carrier back in 1971 piloting a C-172. One of the first things I learned was stall recovery. I might be wrong but I do think the AP got maxed out and dropped it in there laps and they just didn't have the training to recover it. I feel so bad for the family and friends, and to see it in a flat spin just broke my heart. Take care sir.

[mecheiledwar]

Your analysis is
Very very Good explanations
Wish all to be safe...
And my deep condolences for their families

[thedevilinthecircuit]

Good analysis. Flying in icing conditions with the autopilot on is asking for trouble because the only warning you receive is the stall warning. Hand flying in icing conditions--you receive plenty of feedback with lead time to take corrective actions. Check out the Blancolirio recap of this accident as well.

[ahmadtheaviationlover]

Amazing content! Condolences to the bereaving families who lost their loved ones in the crash

[thepodbaydoorshal]

This is so well explained in layman’s terms. Thank you.

[suttonmatthew]

Great analysis. Thank you for a respectful conversation on probable causative factors to this uncommon catastrophe. These are all plausible explanations.