Zillow's Alarming Warning: Housing Market Crash Ahead

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Dan Frio
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[tradewisetv]

Hmm. So how do we rationalize the median home price when compared to the median income? Buyer demand is super low, inventory has been making gains, rates are falling, but buyers aren’t getting in line to buy. It seems like the only thing left to happen is the equal and opposite reaction to what already happened: price alignment. Prices are the only thing that are way off their median. My realtor says this is the new normal, but I’ve been trading markets for over 30 years, and my intuition tells me that the price to income ratio suggests that the signal in the housing market is a sell signal. When I think it over at look closely, the only difference between the housing market and the stock market is the time between transactions: in and out in 60 seconds in stocks, and in and out in a minimum of 60 days in housing. That would suggest that the time it takes for housing to swing is much longer than stocks etc., especially when the fear factor is absent. When a stock suddenly goes through the roof and people panic to get in, the price goes into overbought territory. That’s when you get out, because if there was no fundamental reason for the change in valuation, it will always revert to the mean, and often lower for a period. Nothing fundamental happened to housing valuations. It was fear. Fear of missing out on low rates. Fear of missing out on the Airbnb craze. Fear of not finding a home amidst political migration. None of that is fundamental to the normal cycles of housing. I think the so-called Crash Bro’s are simply hasty in their timeline. Fundamentals are how we gauge market movements, and fundamentally, the housing market is overbought and its relative strength index says sell. I think we’re simply in a consolidation period, and that we’ll be stair-stepping our way down from here.

[korkyket]

Invest in Bitcoin before retiring by diversifying across assets, allocating a small portion of your portfolio, staying updated on market trends, and considering long-term holding to balance risk and growth 📈

[whitney]

I don’t even look at them anymore because nothing makes sense

[dylyo]

I don't care if Crashbros are annoying. I care about affordability. There's no way any market like mine in Temmessee holds value when one looks at the price increase these last 5 yrs. Buying is unwise until affordability returns which means we need a strong correction. No one complained on the up but they'll complain on the way down whenever that is for your market.

[Dieselpwr]

We need increased rates to keep the dollar from losing value

[shayarealestate]

Most of those videos are absolute click bait. Some of these guys have called 30 of the last 2 housing slowdowns.

[SigFigNewton]

D.R. Hortons being healthy points to price cuts.
Because home builders have plenty of room for margin compression, construction will continue to be high and builders can afford to continue to give huge price reductions that don’t show up in sales price data. “Incentives”

[loveydovey]

So you think the slowest June appreciation in home value since 2011 is great? Are you reading the rest of the sentence you highlighted???

[gizemaytur]

I just purchase a home its under construction dont give me a heart attack :)

[CrashBr]

There was a national home price increase in 2006 & 2007.

[Aries]

Sorry bro, DR Horton builder complaints are spiking . Poor workmanship and rising problems for new homeowners.
Their numbers will be slumping.

[litupav]

I think they are on track and you make a living doing sales so it would be counter intuitive for you to promote a crash, which is fair cause it’s how you make a living. I watch all of yall all the time and I see more of what they talk about in a day to day basis

[mohammadrafiamran]

In some point it will, it is not sustainable how long they will keep it like this

[daninthedirt]

I have been watching the real estate market i.e. homes for sale for well over a year I have been seeing a lot more deep price cuts saw my first listing yesterday offering closing costs on existing Rural SFH homes just what I see

[matbob]

Economic Ninja, now Real Estate Ninja… he predicted 17 out of 2 last recessions, can’t wait for another session of enlightenment!

[beancounter]

This is their income. They are Youtubers. They will say what ever will increase their click rate. Doom scrolling titles have very high click rates. One is a full time Youtuber and the other is selling his web service.

[JohnJohnCrusher]

The top 10% are still ridiculously wealthy and like to diversify. That means buying and holding real estate in addition to stocks, bonds, precious metals, etc. Real Estate is king imo

[mathewlebeh]

I'm trying to avoid new buys now in order not to get stucked into a bear trap. On the other hand, I'd love to know best possible areas and ways to invest amid downtrend, my goal is to retire comfortably at a ballpark of $1M

[ieuqcqz]

Home buyers watch out property tax increases which is follow by overpriced home prices!

[G-Anon-ozlb]

I don’t believe either side. It’s not always going to crash. And it’s also not always going to go straight up to infinity and beyond. Lol