Calculating the Probability of a Stock Being in a Certain Price Range

In answer to a viewer’s question, I will go over calculating the probability of s stock ending up in a given range of prices. This is applicable to fields other than finance as well. I will likely do a follow-up video at a later date showing how to use Scipy’s built-in log-normal functions.

[sedna]

thank you! 👍
I'll try to implement this with kelly criterion if it will work.
I'll let you know of the update.

[jayurbain]

Great video. How would you extend this for generating underlying stock price distribution from actual option pricing data and IV? Thanks.

[IntegralDeLinha]

Cool! Thanks! How about the probability of a stock crossing certain price but not necessarily ending up beyond this price?