For the 5th Time in Stock Market History... the SP500 Will See a MASSIVE Recovery

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Game of Trades provides financial market insight and analysis for the individual investor using technical analysis, research, and psychology as a risk management approach.

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We review the SP500, Precious Metals, Commodities, and Cryptocurrencies through a technical and Fundamental Analysis blend with a good amount of historical research. We use simple momentum indicators like the MACD and RSI to analyze and predict trends using divergence and overbought/oversold readings. We show you these in a way that is easy to understand for everyone.

DISCLAIMER: This video is for entertainment purposes only. We are not financial advisers, and you should do your own research and go through your own thought process before investing in a position. Trading is risky; best of luck!
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Last time I decided to throw caution to the wind and put half my money into the market following your bullish sentiment, the tech stocks I bought all lost a bunch of their value and I sold at the exact bottom (May time I think it was). I ain't making that mistake again. Sidelines for me until things become clearer.

formulaic
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Every instance of stocks rebounding in your example was 100% FED intervention. They are not going to do QE but are instead doing QT. This is different than those times.

seestuff
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While we may bounce, I doubt we capitulated yet. The Vix doesn't show extreme fear and there hasn't been a heavy volume down day.

rxlxviii
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Like I said on the last video, this dude is amazing at calling each bear market rally. Market will rally 6-10% and just when people start thinking like Game of Trades, it will resume the slide. Only thing that can change this are an actual fed pivot or peace in Europe.

DachshundDachshundDachshund
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Nobody can become financially successful over night. They put in background work but we tend to see the finished part. Fear is a dangerous component, hindering us from taking bold steps we need in other to reach our goals

presley
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This is quality analysis. What really caught my attention and something most people would probably overlook or relegate as unimportant, is the negative critique of your own analysis and indicators. This is a trait of a good trader and speaks to your integrity. For example, between 6:59 and 8:30 you state that the 50-day moving average indicator (stocks above this) is not a perfect timing mechanism and can be prone to premature buying opportunities; and you demonstrate this in detail, not just in passing.

You can't possibly know how many analysts are rigid with their own indicators and fail to highlight their limitations.

Although I am a pure Elliottician, I am always on the lookout for items that will complement my analysis. Your channel looks promising, and I will continue to watch.

ultrapurple
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Probably some panic selling for about 2 weeks in October before mkt rebound. Just a guess. Oversold can stay oversold for months. Be careful all. Invest within your means. Good luck to all investors 🎉❤

coclim
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The Spx500 is attacking the 50 day moving average per monthly charts, close below that level we visit 100 ma which is around 3k- 2.9k. 200 ma is around 2k. I don’t expect a major rebound this time. Too much interest rates. Inflation really high. Economy going down. Very likely we will get it but we will see

TheRankedSniper
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VERY well done thanks. Appreciate the signal being correctly proven 90% of the time but even more appreciate that we may have more room to come down before it comes to fruition. To steal from Pasani----Nibble here at 3600, bite at 3400, gorge at 3000 as nobdy knows the ultimate bottom. GL & thanks

jcd
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We'll see, bookmarking this video 👌

Elcanario
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Conclusion: it’s a good moment to buy if you’re thinking long-term, but there can be better moments to buy in the weeks ahead

arebolar
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so the chart shows 1998 to 2022. From 1998 to 2008 there was only 1 or 2 dots...the red dots after 2008 came after quantitative easing...not sure, but I would discount those red dots...because the FED is not coming in to save the day.

thelefteyeguyusa
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As for when to start jumping in, either at the optimal technical pattern or after conformation, why not a little of both? That way further downside is protected a bit at the expense of slight profit losses if it goes the way you want. I DCA anyway and just add a little extra in when it seems more optimal to do so. If I'm wrong, I'm still buying next week when the markets even lower

KR-bnbg
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We could have a W shaped correction in one scenario, but the other scenario is a break below the June bottom, that would trigger a lot of stops. I think it's too early to talk about capitulation, have we heard the circuit breakers yet?

mchaves
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You have called 3 capitulations so far this month, yet I believe there was not a single one, since retail is still net positive.

tomasmachacek
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I got 336 on the spy as a rough target based on a Fibonacci model I drew out. Then a bounce to 372ish.

andrewrobinson
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DCA on the way down and on the way up. I’ve increased my frequency of buying and reduced the amount of each transaction.

DavidSmith-lptz
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We are in need of a "crisis" of some sort to reverse things. Can't recall when there was ever a recovery w/o it. Not that we couldn't range sideways like 2000-2009 but this time... is different lol Seriously though, you can't look at the last 20 years of data because the debt cycle is on a much longer cycle and it kinda looks like that has hit a major super cycle pivot. I'm fairly tuned in with a lot of different types of investors and unfortunately, I'm not hearing any of the signals i heard in march 2020, march 2009, or the early 2000s.

maxwellj
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are you able to see who was buying at the bottom that would give us a big indicator

astronutz
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On January 3, 2001 the Fed pivoted from 6.5 percent to 6.0 percent. It took 13 rate decreases to get to 1.00 on June 25, 2003. On Sept 18, 2007 the fed pivoted from 5.25 to 4.75 percent. It took 10 decreases to get to 0.25 on Dec 16, 2008. Just because the Fed makes a pivot does not mean it is a bottom in the stock market, clearly.

mikedurkin