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Hims's 100X Potential Explained by An Early Palantir Investor
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Hims is running the same algorithm as Amazon and Costco.
The world’s top companies follow a blueprint: they solve a growing volume of acute customer pains over time in a manner impossible to imitate. This equation elegantly summarises Amazon’s and Costco’s 209,033% and 110,800% returns since IPO, respectively, for example. This is also true of companies like AMD and Tesla, which have multiplied the capital I invested a decade ago by 40 and 14 times, respectively. Last but not least, this is also true of Palantir and Spotify, my two latest winners.
The aforementioned blueprint reveals that a small minority of investments can and likely will make up the vast majority of your returns over time–that is, you allow the causal mechanism behind the powerful force of compounding to let your winners run. It so happens that Hims appears to be a near-perfect instance of this blueprint, with the company’s core value drivers accelerating quarter over quarter. It may seem far fetched to many, but 100x is the sort of return you get over the long term when you jump in early on and hold.
To manifest the blueprint, a company must ultimately create a platform from which it can launch new products and services at marginal cost. In turn, Hims must reinvest the capital yielded from these new products and services to increase efficiency–i.e. Increase yields. For Hims–as is the case for Amazon and Costco, that means increasing yields at lower prices for end consumers. This pattern of reinvesting capital in order to lower prices for end customers was first coined by Nick Sleep as scale economies shared. By sharing economies of scale over a long time, competitor emulation is rendered impossible.
The world’s top companies follow a blueprint: they solve a growing volume of acute customer pains over time in a manner impossible to imitate. This equation elegantly summarises Amazon’s and Costco’s 209,033% and 110,800% returns since IPO, respectively, for example. This is also true of companies like AMD and Tesla, which have multiplied the capital I invested a decade ago by 40 and 14 times, respectively. Last but not least, this is also true of Palantir and Spotify, my two latest winners.
The aforementioned blueprint reveals that a small minority of investments can and likely will make up the vast majority of your returns over time–that is, you allow the causal mechanism behind the powerful force of compounding to let your winners run. It so happens that Hims appears to be a near-perfect instance of this blueprint, with the company’s core value drivers accelerating quarter over quarter. It may seem far fetched to many, but 100x is the sort of return you get over the long term when you jump in early on and hold.
To manifest the blueprint, a company must ultimately create a platform from which it can launch new products and services at marginal cost. In turn, Hims must reinvest the capital yielded from these new products and services to increase efficiency–i.e. Increase yields. For Hims–as is the case for Amazon and Costco, that means increasing yields at lower prices for end consumers. This pattern of reinvesting capital in order to lower prices for end customers was first coined by Nick Sleep as scale economies shared. By sharing economies of scale over a long time, competitor emulation is rendered impossible.
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