Prediction Markets Trend Toward Harris, but Trump Remains Favored

Let’s take a look at the 2024 Presidential election map based on the latest odds via Polymarket. Donald Trump is favored to win the Presidency with 57% odds according to Polymarket, as Kamala Harris trails behind with a 40% chance of winning.
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Election Predictions Official is the fastest-growing non-partisan political channel on YouTube, focused on analyzing and forecasting elections based on socio-demographics, polling data, and voting patterns. My official 2020 Presidential Election Forecast correctly predicted the outcome in 49 of 50 states. My 2022 Senate Forecast accurately projected the winners in 33 of 34 races.
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This channel is run solely by Ryan Gest, a student at The George Washington University's School of Media and Public Affairs, and an elections data science fellow at Decision Desk HQ.
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[kamii_]

DONT GET COCKY WE NEED TO VOTE TO MAKE IT TOO BIG TO RIG!!!

[jw]

Texas resident here, born and bred. Democrats were slowly turning the state pink, and it looked like it’d be turning purple. Then Biden single handedly flipped the entire RVG (Rio Grande Valley), which has historically been a very strong blue/Democrat stronghold, entirely red because of his open border policies.

[JohnRhaizelBalaguer]

The amount of porn bots here is crazy!!🤮

[amarreder]

Unburdened by what hasbeen?
Unburdened by biden.

[marktwain]

You have to truly be twisted to want to vote for Cackles, and Obama's 4th term.

[Chrissy]

I can't believe we are so close to potentially electing someone this liberal. America is on the brink of being lost.

[Marty]

120 million + votes for Get out and vote, take people with you, ride share!! What ever it takes to clean our damn house!!!

[shewxntk]

GO VOTE PEOPLE, VOTE AS IF WERE DOWN 15 dont get cocky!! TRUMPVANCE2024🇺🇸

[dietrafischer]

Don't any of these so called pundits realize what Roe is going to do this November??

[masonhaggerty]

Trump can pull off a win in Pennsylvania

[GraceEarney-divj]

Trump 2024 polls are not always right we need to make sure we get out and voted for trump

[doctordoom]

We need to get back to the Reagan era full red NJ!

[underwaterlevelz]

Trump has more paths, Harris needs a rust belt sweep

[jamesshaw]

I can not understand how they just disenfranchise 14 million voters and the party is ok with that.

[PetersenIndustriesIncLakeWales]

I watched these and don’t know how anybody could vote for Harris. If I was a hard-core Democrat, I just wouldn’t vote this time. If I was a Trump hater I never Trumper, I just wouldn’t vote. This woman will be the puppet for everybody around the world, and our country will cease to existin any measurable fashion that we are used to. This is very depressing to watch.

[James-lljb]

PA is NOT a tossup! Kamala held a rally in Philly yesterday and 68 people showed up

[davemiller]

Who is their right mind would vote 4 more years of this debacle?

[Ann]

I pray God shows mercy on the country and she is not elected 🙏🏻🙏🏻🙏🏻🙏🏻

[celticone]

If the Democrats had not taken 21 million bogus votes in 2020, Donald Trump would have been ending his Second Term, and America would in every way be in much better shape.
How many people do you poll for these results? I would really like to know.

[michaelellis]

Thanks for keeping us updated. I hope you’re getting massive credits for all of this.