Is This The Black Swan Event The Fed Is Preparing For?!

Christmas Sale at EDU

There are several reasons why suddenly the Fed has apparently accepted market rates going sharply lower. The soft landing scenario might be in greater jeopardy than recent data indicates - or it might more likely come from outside the US. Our focus here, however, is on the financial. What if conditions in the CRE market we all know is going to be a huge problem have started to come to a head? If so, that would get the FOMC's attention. There is evidence for this, too. Maybe more than you'd think.

Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis

Green Street CRE

Federal Reserve Beige Book November 2023

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#recession #money #recession2023 #money #inflation #deflation #interestrates #dollar #economy #credit #interestrates #eurodollar #collateral

[PaulKatrina.]

In these uncertain times, it's more important than ever to have a solid understanding of how to manage your finances, invest wisely and navigate economic downturns. But my primary concern is how to grow my reserve of $240k which has been sitting duck since forever with zero to no gains, sure I'm all in on the long term game, but with my savings are lying waste to inflation and my portfolio losing gains everyday, I need a remedy.

[best]

*The wisest thought that is in everyone's minds today is to invest in different income flows that do not depend on the government, especially with the current economic crisis around the world. This is still a good time to invest in gold, silver and digital currencies (BTC, ETH.... stock, silver and gold)*

[dwaynecarroll]

There was a short sale of a building in San Fransico
The owner turned in the keys
Went into the bidding process and was the winning bidder
They got the building back for $35M in cash and placed the loss on the banks books. $20M
NON RECOURSE LOANS
in case your wondering.
THE SAME THING HAPPENED IN 2008

[draspotnuk]

David Webb's- The Great Taking brings great clarity to everything taking place. If the corporate real estate sector is owned by banks and clearing houses then the real estate is the collateral to the big derivatives problem. If prices decline, look out below here comes the next great depression. It's all about underlying asset/security price stability, pop goes the derivatives bubble if there is a correction.

Edit: I think there is a great opportunity in holding actual cash. The amount of money in the financial system vs how much cash there is available is remarkable. Now I know why my grandparents used to stuff cash in between their mattresses.

[dustindavid]

I live in the Tampa area. There are 300-400 unit apartment complexes recently built and/or going up everywhere. Hard to believe they can fill all of those doors while maintaining such high rental rates. Plus the trash pick up fee, plus pest control fee and every other nonsense they charge. We shall

[sunshineretired]

You & Steve need to get your act together. the sky is not falling. no wonder you are utubers and
nothing more.

[SeanM.CryptoDad]

You can’t tell everyone about my thesis lol. They gonna start cutting way sooner than people think. Banks need to start paying off their loans in march, they are borrowing still from the fed program over 7 billion last week. So I know for a fact the fed will cut rates sooner than people think, I was thinking the first coming in march, but the more I look into it the more I think Olathe first one might come in January and dropping significantly over the next handful of months…. Now time to watch the video and see what you have to say about it😊

[readtruth]

Maybe they want a hard crash. Maybe that’s how they sell the 100% digital currency system and then a social credit system.

[robinwells]

Nobody said that going cold turkey on the low interest rate cocaine was going to be easy. The patient is shivering and sweating profusely now and demand for backdoor FED loan methadone is surging. They’re hallucinating about soft landings. Not good. 😳

[theairstig]

15:17 Marx predicted that capitalism would eventually destroy itself as more people become relegated to working-class status, inequality rises, and competition drives corporate profits to zero. This would lead, he surmised, to a revolution after which production would be turned over to the working class as a whole.

[freedom]

Own your own home (primary residence) and bitcoin. Rentals are a headache… I sold my rentals and buy as much bitcoin as I can. No headaches, no maintenance costs, and the growth is fantastic.

[michaellalanae]

Landing gear is down however we are approaching at 10 k miles an hour . Leave your tray tables down . 😂

[raffyzoo]

no rate cut until the corrupt banks fail. i used to get 3% interest on savings. not at any bank now. loans need to be only 1% above the savings rate. banks get 30:1 margin-WAT a GYP

[Silvangreen]

How about looking at commercial RE loan interest rates? Are they falling? Where do they have to be to allow refinancing activity in 2024? Is it realistic they fall enough to mitigate the problem?

[aspromos]

The title of your video is "Black Swan Event", but the market is seeing such strong momentum. As long as the market keeps reaching new highs, what does it even mean to have a black swan event?

[jamesedwards]

If you look at Capacity Utilization, production is still TIGHT having just dropped below 80. IF the FED were to drop rates and stimulate the economy INFLATION would flare up again as DEMAND outstrips production. The FED didn't agree to lower rates. Come on, THINK

[tabs]

The Red Emperor Gi on this visit to Frisco ordered that rates be lowered. The 400 came to kiss the ring..and do as they are told. The EMPEROR told them in no uncertain terms what was going to happen in the Celestial Kingdom if rates were not lowered which would then directly effect their fiefdoms..crash in the CK means crash every where else. Reducing rates means a lower USD easing the dollar crunch in the CK. But means inflation remains problematic where the American standard of living crashes and burns. Americans are in for a reality check..have a nice holiday season.ya hear

[inspectorNo]

Thank you for using pun intended instead of saying pun unintended when it was intended.

[halwas]

The fundamental problems in commercial real estate are remote work and internet shopping. There is much less need for brick and mortar. Empty malls and empty office buildings all over the place. Interest rate cuts won't fix this.

[jfuite]

00:07:50 “They are hoping that lower rates will unthaw the market.”
Jeff, the word, “unthaw”, is the bastard bother of thaw.