When Will Santa Get To My House? A Tale of Forecast Uncertainty

Have you ever wondered about weather forecasting, ensembles, stochastic physics and interpreting the probabilities. This public-outreach-level talk will go through each of those concepts and draw parallels with the festive conundrum: when will Father Christmas get to my house?

Speaker Biography
Dr C J Morcrette FRMetS
Cyril works in the parametrizations group at the Met Office and holds a joint position with Exeter University. Before that he did a PhD and post-doc in the Meteorology Department at Reading University.